MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over ONIT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
ONIT
Onity Group Inc.
ONIT offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
ONIT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
ONIT's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like ONIT.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
ONIT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 1.9x | $27.33 | — |
| Cheap | 2.4x | $33.80 | +24% |
| Forward | 4.8x | $27.33 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $150 | +450% |
| Expensive | 33x | $460 | +1583% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ONIT has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over ONIT on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
ONIT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Decline | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ONIT's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.
ONIT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.75 | -59% |
| Q3 2026 | $14.15 | +324% |
| Q2 2026 | $15.77 | +298% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.70 | +582% |
| Q4 2025 | $21.46 | +420% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.34 | +94% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.96 | +3200% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.89 | +291% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.13 | +$12.47 |
ONIT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $14.15 over the past year, about four times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over ONIT on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ONIT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $278.1M | -0.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $282.9M | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $294.3M | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $290M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $280.3M | +5.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $246.6M | +0.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $249.8M | +4.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $224.8M | -19% |
ONIT's revenue has picked up after five years of holding roughly level: $278M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 58% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 51% | -4.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 55% | +3.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 53% | +4.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 55% | -2.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 56% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 52% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 49% | -14 points |
ONIT has the edge over MS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
ONIT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $577M | +152% |
| Q2 2026 | -$516.9M | +$81.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.6B | -$1.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$232.5M | -$14M |
| Q3 2025 | $228.8M | +1098% |
| Q2 2025 | -$598.8M | -$520.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$148.4M | +$148.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$218.5M | -178% |
ONIT's free cash flow was −$1.8B over the past year, against −$737M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like ONIT.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
ONIT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.5% | +126K shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -145K shares |
| 3 years | +6.4% | +513K shares |
| 5 years | -8.8% | -829K shares |
| Available history | -4.4% | -390K shares |
ONIT has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6M |
| Q2 2026 | $5.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $6.1M |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | $11.2M |
| Q3 2022 | $36.5M |
| Q4 2021 | — |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
ONIT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.7x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 6.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.1x | High |
ONIT has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
ONIT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 24.1 | Neutral |
ONIT's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ONIT PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | ONIT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 1.9x | 13x | 85% below |
| PE % | 8 | 63 | 55 pts below |
ONIT has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over ONIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ONIT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $27.7 | 1.4% below |
| 20 week MA | $33.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $38.5 | 29% below |
| 100 week MA | $37.5 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $32.9 | 17% below |
ONIT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 17% below its 200-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over ONIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ONIT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $20.9 | $31.0 | +49% |
| 2021 | $31.0 | $39.5 | +27% |
| 2022 | $39.5 | $31.4 | -20% |
| 2023 | $31.4 | $30.8 | -2.1% |
| 2024 | $30.8 | $30.2 | -1.8% |
| 2025 | $30.2 | $44.2 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $44.2 | $27.3 | -38% |
ONIT has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.