MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over ONDS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
ONDS
Ondas Holdings Inc.
ONDS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
ONDS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ONDS's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
ONDS PE Valuation
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over ONDS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
ONDS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ONDS's losses to grow, with revenue growing.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over ONDS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ONDS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.09 | +$0.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.51 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.09 | +$0.68 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.62 | -$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.41 | +$0.31 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.53 | +$0.18 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.59 | +$0.16 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.61 | +$0.27 |
ONDS is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.09 per share over the past year, against $1.79 at its worst in early 2023.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over ONDS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ONDS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $167.5M | +1559% |
| Q2 2026 | $83.8M | +1235% |
| Q1 2026 | $50.1M | +1080% |
| Q4 2025 | $30.1M | +629% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.1M | +582% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3M | +555% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | +580% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M | -17% |
ONDS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $167M last quarter, up 1559% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -113% | +40 points |
| Q2 2026 | -195% | -47 points |
| Q1 2026 | -85% | +158 points |
| Q4 2025 | -77% | +129 points |
| Q3 2025 | -154% | +431 points |
| Q2 2025 | -147% | +720 points |
| Q1 2025 | -243% | +1218 points |
| Q4 2024 | -206% | +49 points |
ONDS's operating margin was −113% last quarter, up 40 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS has the edge over ONDS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ONDS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$150.8M | -$139.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$93.8M | -$85.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$52.6M | -$45.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$14.3M | -$6.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$11.1M | -$2.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.5M | +$1.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.8M | +$1.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.1M | -$2.1M |
ONDS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$312M over the past year, against −$35M the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over ONDS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
ONDS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +23% | +114M shares |
| 1 year | +489% | +513M shares |
| 3 years | +1363% | +576M shares |
| 5 years | +2983% | +598M shares |
ONDS has 618M diluted shares, up 489% from a year ago.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
ONDS Net Leverage
ONDS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
ONDS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.5 | Oversold |
ONDS's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
ONDS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | ONDS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
ONDS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over ONDS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ONDS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.35 | 16% below |
| 20 week MA | $7.23 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.92 | 40% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.08 | 12% below |
| 200 week MA | $3.57 | 49% above |
ONDS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 49% above its 200-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over ONDS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
ONDS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | $18.0 | $18.0 | 0% |
| 2020 | $18.0 | $7.65 | -57% |
| 2021 | $7.65 | $7.16 | -6.4% |
| 2022 | $7.16 | $1.69 | -76% |
| 2023 | $1.69 | $1.53 | -9.5% |
| 2024 | $1.53 | $2.59 | +69% |
| 2025 | $2.59 | $8.48 | +227% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.48 | $5.32 | -37% |
ONDS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +227% in 2025 to −76% in 2022. It's down 37% so far in 2026.