MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

NTB

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited

There isn't enough reported data to score NTB yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

NTB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Strong
N/A
N/A

NTB's profitability is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NTB.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

NTB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.3x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.6x7.3x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.7x$36.77-35%
Forward8.6x$56.25โ€”
Fair8.9x$48.90-13%
Current10x$56.25โ€”
Expensive11x$61.43+9.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NTB has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over NTB on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NTB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NTB, but weaker profitability.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and NTB's risk to reward.

NTB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $56.25 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and NTB's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

NTB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2016: $1.18Q4 2017: $2.76Q4 2018: $3.50Q4 2019: $3.30Q4 2020: $2.90Q4 2021: $3.26Q4 2022: $4.29Q4 2023: $4.58Q4 2024: $4.71Q4 2025: $5.47Forward: $6.55
Q4 2016: $1.18Q4 2017: $2.76Q4 2018: $3.50Q4 2019: $3.30Q4 2020: $2.90Q4 2021: $3.26Q4 2022: $4.29Q4 2023: $4.58Q4 2024: $4.71Q4 2025: $5.47Forward: $6.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.55+20%
Q4 2025$5.47+16%
Q4 2024$4.71+2.8%
Q4 2023$4.58+6.8%
Q4 2022$4.29+32%
Q4 2021$3.26+12%
Q4 2020$2.90-12%
Q4 2019$3.30-5.7%
Q4 2018$3.50+27%

NTB has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NTB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2016: $403MQ4 2017: $455MQ4 2018: $518MQ4 2019: $533MQ4 2020: $494MQ4 2021: $500MQ4 2022: $549MQ4 2023: $579MQ4 2024: $580MQ4 2025: $607M
Q4 2016: $403MQ4 2017: $455MQ4 2018: $518MQ4 2019: $533MQ4 2020: $494MQ4 2021: $500MQ4 2022: $549MQ4 2023: $579MQ4 2024: $580MQ4 2025: $607M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2025$606.8M+4.6%
Q4 2024$579.9M+0.2%
Q4 2023$578.6M+5.3%
Q4 2022$549.3M+9.9%
Q4 2021$499.7M+1.1%
Q4 2020$494.2M-7.2%
Q4 2019$532.6M+2.9%
Q4 2018$517.8M+14%

NTB has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

NTB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2016: $168MQ4 2017: $222MQ4 2018: $278MQ4 2019: --Q4 2020: --Q4 2021: --Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q4 2024: --Q4 2025: --
Q4 2016: $168MQ4 2017: $222MQ4 2018: $278MQ4 2019: --Q4 2020: --Q4 2021: --Q4 2022: --Q4 2023: --Q4 2024: --Q4 2025: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2018$277.8M+25%
Q4 2017$222.5M+32%

NTB and MS do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

NTB Total Shares

Q4 2016: 53MQ4 2017: 55MQ4 2018: 55MQ4 2019: 53MQ4 2020: 50MQ4 2021: 50MQ4 2022: 50MQ4 2023: 48MQ4 2024: 44MQ4 2025: 40M
Q4 2016: 53MQ4 2017: 55MQ4 2018: 55MQ4 2019: 53MQ4 2020: 50MQ4 2021: 50MQ4 2022: 50MQ4 2023: 48MQ4 2024: 44MQ4 2025: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-8.2%-3.6M shares
1 year-20%-10M shares

NTB has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

NTB Net Leverage

Q4 2016: -11.8xQ4 2017: -6.9xQ4 2018: -7.9xQ4 2019: -10.7xQ4 2020: -14.7xQ4 2021: -8.5xQ4 2022: -7.5xQ4 2023: -5.9xQ4 2024: -7.2xQ4 2025: -6.2x
Q4 2016: -11.8xQ4 2017: -6.9xQ4 2018: -7.9xQ4 2019: -10.7xQ4 2020: -14.7xQ4 2021: -8.5xQ4 2022: -7.5xQ4 2023: -5.9xQ4 2024: -7.2xQ4 2025: -6.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2025-6.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-7.2xNet Cash
Q4 2023-5.9xNet Cash
Q4 2022-7.5xNet Cash
Q4 2021-8.5xNet Cash
Q4 2020-14.7xNet Cash
Q4 2019-10.7xNet Cash
Q4 2018-7.9xNet Cash

NTB has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NTB.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NTB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.9Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

NTB's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NTB PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNTBSector medianRelative
PE10x13x21% below
PE %68635 pts above

NTB has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

NTB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$57.62.4% below
20 week MA$59.55.5% below
50 week MA$55.90.7% above
100 week MA$48.715% above
200 week MA$40.240% above

NTB has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 40% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

NTB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.9$31.2-16%
2021$31.2$38.0+22%
2022$38.0$30.0-21%
2023$30.0$32.0+6.8%
2024$32.0$36.8+15%
2025$36.8$50.5+37%
2026 YTD$50.5$56.3+11%

NTB has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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