MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over NSLR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NSLR

Neostellar Capital Corp.

52
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

NSLR offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

NSLR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
N/A
N/A

NSLR's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NSLR.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

NSLR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x99x131x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x66x99x131x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap1.5x$4.22-30%
Current2.1x$6.02—
Fair3.9x$11.14+85%
Expensive34x$98.26+1532%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NSLR has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

NSLR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect NSLR's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NSLR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NSLR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$8.09
Downside-25%$4.51

Calculated from the latest close: $6.02 on Nov 12.

NSLR trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over NSLR on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NSLR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $-0.84Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-1.91Q4 2024: $-1.55Q1 2025: $-0.71Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $1.68Q1 2026: $6.89Q2 2026: $3.94Q3 2026: $2.86
Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $-0.84Q2 2024: $-0.69Q3 2024: $-1.91Q4 2024: $-1.55Q1 2025: $-0.71Q2 2025: $1.97Q3 2025: $2.48Q4 2025: $1.68Q1 2026: $6.89Q2 2026: $3.94Q3 2026: $2.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$2.86+15%
Q2 2026$3.94+100%
Q1 2026$6.89+$7.60
Q4 2025$1.68+$3.23
Q3 2025$2.48+$4.39
Q2 2025$1.97+$2.66
Q1 2025-$0.71+$0.13
Q4 2024-$1.55-916%

NSLR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.86 over the past year, against $9.17 in mid-2021.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus down 0.8% for NSLR.

NSLR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2022$519.5K-0.8%
Q2 2022$890.6K+224%
Q1 2022$583.1K+100%
Q4 2021$380.8K-59%
Q3 2021$523.9K+28%
Q2 2021$274.8K+14%
Q1 2021$291.4K+16%
Q4 2020$922.7K+131%

NSLR's revenue is growing: $519,510 last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

NSLR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$45MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$100,706Q4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$24MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: −$45MQ1 2024: $23MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: −$12MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$100,706Q4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$24MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2M+$8.3M
Q2 2026-$24.1M-171%
Q1 2026-$5.8M-$2M
Q4 2025$4.4M+$16.8M
Q3 2025-$100.7K+$20.8M
Q2 2025$33.7M+160%
Q1 2025-$3.7M-116%
Q4 2024-$12.4M+$32.8M

NSLR has the edge over MS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

NSLR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 23MQ3 2024: 23MQ4 2024: 23MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 25MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 26MQ3 2026: 26M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.9%+490K shares
1 year-8.7%-2.5M shares
3 years+4.4%+1.1M shares
5 years-4.1%-1.1M shares
Available history+20%+4.3M shares

NSLR has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

NSLR Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 2022-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2021-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2021-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2021-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.8xNet Cash
Q4 2020-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2020-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 20202.8xModerate

NSLR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NSLR.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NSLR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.3Oversold
Stochastic6.4Oversold

NSLR's weekly RSI is 26 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NSLR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNSLRSector medianRelative
PE2.1x13x84% below
PE %336330 pts below

NSLR has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over NSLR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NSLR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.588.5% below
20 week MA$8.7031% below
50 week MA$10.140% below
100 week MA$8.6630% below
200 week MA$6.324.7% below

NSLR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 4.7% below its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over NSLR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NSLR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.84$12.6+83%
2021$12.6$13.5+7.4%
2022$13.5$3.84-72%
2023$3.84$3.94+2.6%
2024$3.94$5.98+52%
2025$5.98$9.61+61%
2026 YTD$9.61$6.02-37%

NSLR is down 37% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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