MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

NMR

Nomura Holdings, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score NMR yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

NMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

NMR's profitability is currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NMR.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

NMR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.5x17x26x34x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.5x17x26x34x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.9x$5.90-38%
Fair12x$8.70-9%
Current13x$9.56โ€”
Expensive18x$13.82+45%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NMR has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over NMR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect NMR's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and NMR's risk to reward.

NMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $9.56 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and NMR's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

NMR Earnings Per Share

Q3 2020: $0.47Q1 2021: $0.30Q3 2021: $-0.01Q1 2022: $0.28Q3 2022: $0.22Q1 2023: $0.19Q3 2023: $0.27Q1 2024: $0.33Q3 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $0.75
Q3 2020: $0.47Q1 2021: $0.30Q3 2021: $-0.01Q1 2022: $0.28Q3 2022: $0.22Q1 2023: $0.19Q3 2023: $0.27Q1 2024: $0.33Q3 2024: $0.56Q1 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.76Q1 2026: $0.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q1 2026$0.75+7.1%
Q3 2025$0.76+36%
Q1 2025$0.70+112%
Q3 2024$0.56+107%
Q1 2024$0.33+74%
Q3 2023$0.27+23%
Q1 2023$0.19-32%
Q3 2022$0.22+$0.23

NMR has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NMR Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2020: $5.2BQ1 2021: $3.6BQ3 2021: $4.2BQ1 2022: $4.3BQ3 2022: $3.9BQ1 2023: $4.5BQ3 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ1 2025: $6BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ1 2026: $7.1B
Q3 2020: $5.2BQ1 2021: $3.6BQ3 2021: $4.2BQ1 2022: $4.3BQ3 2022: $3.9BQ1 2023: $4.5BQ3 2023: $4.5BQ1 2024: $5.3BQ3 2024: $5.9BQ1 2025: $6BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ1 2026: $7.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2026$7.1B+18%
Q3 2025$6.5B+11%
Q1 2025$6B+13%
Q3 2024$5.9B+31%
Q1 2024$5.3B+18%
Q3 2023$4.5B+16%
Q1 2023$4.5B+3.9%
Q3 2022$3.9B-8.2%

NMR has the edge over MS in the latest year-over-year revenue comparison.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was โˆ’$58.3B over the past year, against โˆ’$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

NMR Free Cash Flow

Q3 2020: $4.8BQ1 2021: โˆ’$1.4BQ3 2021: โˆ’$1.7BQ1 2022: โˆ’$7.6BQ3 2022: โˆ’$4.5BQ1 2023: โˆ’$941MQ3 2023: $886MQ1 2024: โˆ’$968MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$2.6BQ3 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$12.7B
Q3 2020: $4.8BQ1 2021: โˆ’$1.4BQ3 2021: โˆ’$1.7BQ1 2022: โˆ’$7.6BQ3 2022: โˆ’$4.5BQ1 2023: โˆ’$941MQ3 2023: $886MQ1 2024: โˆ’$968MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$2.6BQ3 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: โˆ’$12.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$12.7B-$10.1B
Q3 2025$5.2B+$8B
Q1 2025-$2.6B-$1.6B
Q3 2024-$2.8B-420%
Q1 2024-$968.3M-$27.3M
Q3 2023$885.9M+$5.4B
Q1 2023-$941M+$6.6B
Q3 2022-$4.5B-$2.8B

NMR's free cash flow was โˆ’$12.9B over the past year, against โˆ’$5.5B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NMR.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.

NMR Total Shares

Q3 2025: 3B
Q3 2025: 3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-9.6%-325M shares
1 year-14%-498M shares
3 years-20%-781M shares

NMR has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

NMR Net Leverage

Q3 2020: 14.1xQ1 2021: 20.6xQ3 2021: 53.9xQ1 2022: 24.9xQ3 2022: 32.4xQ1 2023: 31.5xQ3 2023: 28.2xQ1 2024: 26.8xQ3 2024: 19.0xQ1 2025: 18.8xQ3 2025: 16.5xQ1 2026: 21.7x
Q3 2020: 14.1xQ1 2021: 20.6xQ3 2021: 53.9xQ1 2022: 24.9xQ3 2022: 32.4xQ1 2023: 31.5xQ3 2023: 28.2xQ1 2024: 26.8xQ3 2024: 19.0xQ1 2025: 18.8xQ3 2025: 16.5xQ1 2026: 21.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 202621.7xHigh
Q3 202516.5xHigh
Q1 202518.8xHigh
Q3 202419.0xHigh
Q1 202426.8xHigh
Q3 202328.2xHigh
Q1 202331.5xHigh
Q3 202232.4xHigh

NMR's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NMR.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.8Neutral
Stochastic26.2Neutral

NMR's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NMR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNMRSector medianRelative
PE13x13x1.5% below
PE %59634 pts below

NMR has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

NMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.490.7% above
20 week MA$9.751.9% below
50 week MA$8.946.9% above
100 week MA$7.7324% above
200 week MA$6.2852% above

NMR has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

NMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.12$5.22+2%
2021$5.22$4.43-15%
2022$4.43$3.68-17%
2023$3.68$4.51+23%
2024$4.51$5.86+30%
2025$5.86$8.41+44%
2026 YTD$8.41$9.56+14%

NMR has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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