MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over NEWTH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NEWTH
NewtekOne, Inc.
NEWTH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
NEWTH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
NEWTH's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NEWTH.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
NEWTH PE Valuation
NEWTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over NEWTH on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
NEWTH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NEWTH, with profitability holding steady.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over NEWTH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NEWTH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.88 | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.21 | +9.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.26 | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.18 | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.24 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.02 | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.93 | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.96 | +27% |
NEWTH earned $1.88 per share over the past year, down 16% from the year before.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the edge over NEWTH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NEWTH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $71.8M | -4.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $75.1M | +7% |
| Q1 2026 | $71M | +7% |
| Q4 2025 | $73.3M | -2.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $74.9M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $70.2M | +15% |
| Q1 2025 | $66.3M | +14% |
| Q4 2024 | $75.4M | +42% |
NEWTH's revenue has held roughly level: $72M last quarter, down 4.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS has the edge over NEWTH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NEWTH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$152.4M | +$14.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$163.3M | +$36.6M |
| Q1 2026 | -$257.5M | -$196.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$151.4M | -$59.8M |
| Q3 2025 | -$167.3M | -$141.4M |
| Q2 2025 | -$199.9M | -7108% |
| Q1 2025 | -$60.7M | -$22M |
| Q4 2024 | -$91.7M | -$39M |
NEWTH's free cash flow was −$725M over the past year, against −$520M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NEWTH.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over NEWTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
NEWTH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +51K shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +2.7M shares |
| 3 years | +16% | +4M shares |
NEWTH has 29M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | $167,000 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
NEWTH Net Leverage
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
NEWTH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 28.4 | Neutral |
NEWTH's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
NEWTH PE vs Financial Services Sector
NEWTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has stronger trend alignment. MS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus NEWTH above 0 of 4.
NEWTH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $24.8 | 1.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $25.1 | 2.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $25.2 | 3.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $25.1 | 2.8% below |
NEWTH is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 2.8% below its 100-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over NEWTH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NEWTH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $25.2 | $25.9 | +2.9% |
| 2025 | $25.9 | $25.4 | -1.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $25.4 | $24.4 | -3.9% |
NEWTH has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 3.9% so far in 2026.