MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

NCPL

Netcapital Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score NCPL yet.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

NCPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Weak
N/A
N/A

NCPL's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like NCPL.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189โ€”
Current15x$189โ€”
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

NCPL PE Valuation

NCPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

NCPL Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for NCPL to show an outlook.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and NCPL's risk to reward.

NCPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.75 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MS and NCPL's risk to reward.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 29% for MS versus NCPL down 160%.

NCPL Earnings Per Share

Q2 2023: $44.10Q3 2023: $37.80Q4 2023: $37.80Q1 2024: $1.40Q2 2024: $-28.70Q3 2024: $-28.90Q4 2024: $-34.04Q1 2025: $-22.31Q2 2025: $-20.39Q3 2025: $-16.56Q4 2025: $-14.66Q1 2026: $-13.41
Q2 2023: $44.10Q3 2023: $37.80Q4 2023: $37.80Q1 2024: $1.40Q2 2024: $-28.70Q3 2024: $-28.90Q4 2024: $-34.04Q1 2025: $-22.31Q2 2025: $-20.39Q3 2025: $-16.56Q4 2025: $-14.66Q1 2026: $-13.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q1 2026-$13.41+$8.90
Q4 2025-$14.66+$19.38
Q3 2025-$16.56+$12.34
Q2 2025-$20.39+$8.31
Q1 2025-$22.31-1694%
Q4 2024-$34.04-190%
Q3 2024-$28.90-176%
Q2 2024-$28.70-165%

NCPL is still losing money, but far less than before: $13.41 per share over the past year, against $34.04 at its worst in late 2024.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus down 38% for NCPL.

NCPL Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2023: $3MQ3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $347,176Q3 2024: $142,227Q4 2024: $170,528Q1 2025: $152,682Q2 2025: $404,023Q3 2025: $190,058Q4 2025: $51,076Q1 2026: $94,347
Q2 2023: $3MQ3 2023: $2MQ4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $347,176Q3 2024: $142,227Q4 2024: $170,528Q1 2025: $152,682Q2 2025: $404,023Q3 2025: $190,058Q4 2025: $51,076Q1 2026: $94,347
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2026$94.3K-38%
Q4 2025$51.1K-70%
Q3 2025$190.1K+34%
Q2 2025$404K+16%
Q1 2025$152.7K-85%
Q4 2024$170.5K-92%
Q3 2024$142.2K-91%
Q2 2024$347.2K-89%

NCPL's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $94,347 last quarter, down 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: โˆ’$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: โˆ’$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: โˆ’$3.3BQ4 2025: โˆ’$2.4BQ1 2026: โˆ’$7.1BQ2 2026: โˆ’$2.7BQ3 2026: โˆ’$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

NCPL has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 113% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.

NCPL Free Cash Flow

Q2 2023: โˆ’$1MQ3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$481,791Q1 2024: โˆ’$2MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$724,581Q3 2025: โˆ’$4MQ4 2025: โˆ’$3MQ1 2026: โˆ’$868,745
Q2 2023: โˆ’$1MQ3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$481,791Q1 2024: โˆ’$2MQ2 2024: โˆ’$1MQ3 2024: โˆ’$2MQ4 2024: โˆ’$1MQ1 2025: โˆ’$1MQ2 2025: โˆ’$724,581Q3 2025: โˆ’$4MQ4 2025: โˆ’$3MQ1 2026: โˆ’$868,745
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$868.7K+$294.8K
Q4 2025-$2.6M-$1.1M
Q3 2025-$4.2M-$2.3M
Q2 2025-$724.6K+$589.3K
Q1 2025-$1.2M+$456.6K
Q4 2024-$1.5M-$1M
Q3 2024-$2M-$499.6K
Q2 2024-$1.3M-$111.4K

NCPL's free cash flow was โˆ’$8M over the past year, against โˆ’$6M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like NCPL.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over NCPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NCPL Total Shares

Q3 2023: 106,735Q4 2023: 134,796Q1 2024: 163,807Q2 2024: 172,937Q3 2024: 495,319Q4 2024: 947,459Q1 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 6M
Q3 2023: 106,735Q4 2023: 134,796Q1 2024: 163,807Q2 2024: 172,937Q3 2024: 495,319Q4 2024: 947,459Q1 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+17%+802K shares
1 year+492%+4.7M shares
3 years+12288%+5.6M shares
5 years+94496%+5.6M shares

NCPL has 6M diluted shares, up 492% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

NCPL Net Leverage

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

NCPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.6Neutral
Stochastic54.1Neutral

NCPL's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

NCPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricNCPLSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

NCPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

NCPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.5017% above
20 week MA$0.8899% above
50 week MA$0.73140% above
100 week MA$1.5811% above
200 week MA$17.790% below

NCPL has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

NCPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$966.0$546.0-43%
2021$546.0$1,050.0+92%
2022$1,050.0$86.8-92%
2023$86.8$14.9-83%
2024$14.9$2.14-86%
2025$2.14$0.77-64%
2026 YTD$0.77$1.75+127%

NCPL has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key