MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over MVBF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MVBF

MVB Financial Corp.

52
Fundamentals29/ 100
Valuation40/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MVBF's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

MVBF Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
N/A
N/A

MVBF's revenue and profitability are currently stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MVBF.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS has the edge over MVBF in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MVBF PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$15.45-40%
Forward11x$25.68—
Fair12x$19.79-23%
Expensive15x$24.76-3.6%
Current15x$25.68—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MVBF's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

MVBF Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MVBF, with profitability improving.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MVBF, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MVBF Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$30.61
Downside-18%$21.16

Calculated from the latest close: $25.68 on Nov 12.

MVBF trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over MVBF on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MVBF Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $1.87Q2 2024: $1.55Q3 2024: $1.42Q4 2024: $1.53Q1 2025: $1.46Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $2.46Q4 2025: $2.06Q1 2026: $2.18Q2 2026: $2.96Q3 2026: $1.67Forward: $2.29
Q4 2023: $2.40Q1 2024: $1.87Q2 2024: $1.55Q3 2024: $1.42Q4 2024: $1.53Q1 2025: $1.46Q2 2025: $1.30Q3 2025: $2.46Q4 2025: $2.06Q1 2026: $2.18Q2 2026: $2.96Q3 2026: $1.67Forward: $2.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.29+37%
Q3 2026$1.67-32%
Q2 2026$2.96+128%
Q1 2026$2.18+49%
Q4 2025$2.06+35%
Q3 2025$2.46+73%
Q2 2025$1.30-16%
Q1 2025$1.46-22%
Q4 2024$1.53-36%

MVBF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.67 over the past year, against $3.65 in early 2021.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over MVBF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MVBF Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $37MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $35MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $46MQ1 2025: $34MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: $61MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $37MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$40.4M-34%
Q2 2026$51.1M+51%
Q1 2026$36.7M+8.8%
Q4 2025$39.1M-15%
Q3 2025$61.2M+84%
Q2 2025$33.7M-2.8%
Q1 2025$33.7M-11%
Q4 2024$46.2M+30%

MVBF's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $40M last quarter, down 34% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS has the edge over MVBF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MVBF Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$15MQ1 2026: −$23MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: −$1M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: −$11MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$15MQ1 2026: −$23MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.4M+$2.2M
Q2 2026$4.9M-33%
Q1 2026-$23.4M-269%
Q4 2025-$15.5M-$4.8M
Q3 2025-$3.5M-142%
Q2 2025$7.2M-73%
Q1 2025$13.9M+$40M
Q4 2024-$10.7M-158%

MVBF's free cash flow was −$35M over the past year, against $7M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MVBF.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over MVBF on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MVBF Total Shares

Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
Q4 2023: 13MQ1 2024: 13MQ2 2024: 13MQ3 2024: 13MQ4 2024: 13MQ1 2025: 13MQ2 2025: 13MQ3 2025: 13MQ4 2025: 13MQ1 2026: 13MQ2 2026: 13MQ3 2026: 13M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+96.3K shares
1 year+2.1%+272K shares
3 years+1.3%+166K shares
5 years+3.6%+459K shares
Available history+10%+1.2M shares

MVBF has 13M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MVBF Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.8xQ1 2024: -16.1xQ2 2024: -12.6xQ3 2024: -19.4xQ4 2024: -8.1xQ1 2025: -6.1xQ2 2025: -12.4xQ3 2025: -4.9xQ4 2025: -4.3xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -4.8xQ3 2026: -5.1x
Q4 2023: -9.8xQ1 2024: -16.1xQ2 2024: -12.6xQ3 2024: -19.4xQ4 2024: -8.1xQ1 2025: -6.1xQ2 2025: -12.4xQ3 2025: -4.9xQ4 2025: -4.3xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -4.8xQ3 2026: -5.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-4.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-12.4xNet Cash
Q1 2025-6.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-8.1xNet Cash

MVBF has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MVBF Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

MVBF's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over MVBF on valuation relative to its sector.

MVBF PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMVBFSector medianRelative
PE15x13x18% above
PE %886325 pts above

MVBF is trading at 15x earnings, a 18% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over MVBF on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MVBF Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.29% below
20 week MA$29.413% below
50 week MA$27.87.6% below
100 week MA$24.64.4% above
200 week MA$22.912% above

MVBF has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 12% above its 200-week average.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over MVBF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MVBF Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.7$21.8-12%
2021$21.8$42.1+94%
2022$42.1$22.2-47%
2023$22.2$22.6+1.7%
2024$22.6$20.6-8.7%
2025$20.6$26.0+26%
2026 YTD$26.0$25.7-1.2%

MVBF has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 1.2% so far in 2026.

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