MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has the edge over MSIF overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MSIF
MSC Income Fund, Inc.
MSIF offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
MSIF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MSIF's profitability is currently strong, but its revenue is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MSIF.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.
MSIF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7.4x | $12.44 | — |
| Cheap | 7.8x | $13.06 | +5% |
| Fair | 8.9x | $14.90 | +20% |
| Forward | 9x | $12.44 | — |
| Expensive | 10x | $16.73 | +34% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSIF has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MS has the edge over MSIF on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
MSIF Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect MSIF's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over MSIF on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MSIF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.38 | -18% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.68 | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.63 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.33 | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | +30% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.59 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.42 | +97% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +74% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.05 | +46% |
MSIF's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.68 over the past year, against $2.26 in mid-2021.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 12% for MS versus down 43% for MSIF.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS's operating margin was 32% last quarter, down 1.2 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSIF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | $13.1M | -43% |
| Q3 2022 | $17.1M | -6.1% |
| Q2 2022 | $3.7M | -85% |
| Q1 2022 | $17.9M | +8.9% |
| Q4 2021 | $23.1M | +42% |
| Q3 2021 | $18.2M | -55% |
| Q2 2021 | $24.7M | +7.4% |
| Q4 2020 | $16.3M | +230% |
MSIF's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $13M last quarter, down 43% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | 92% | -2.3 points |
| Q3 2022 | 94% | +1.3 points |
| Q2 2022 | 68% | -29 points |
| Q1 2022 | 93% | +14 points |
| Q4 2021 | 94% | +5.4 points |
| Q3 2021 | 92% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2021 | 97% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2021 | 80% | N/A |
MSIF's operating margin was 92% last quarter, down 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS has the edge over MSIF on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSIF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $31.9M | +117% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M | -49% |
| Q1 2026 | -$18.4M | +$54.1M |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.5M | -$30.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $32.9M | +$61.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$72.5M | -$60.9M |
| Q4 2024 | -$14.7M | -136% |
MSIF's free cash flow was −$15M over the past year, against −$40M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has 1.6B diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
MSIF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -7.9K shares |
| 1 year | -4.2% | -2M shares |
| 3 years | -44% | -35M shares |
| 5 years | +13% | +5.4M shares |
| Available history | +15% | +5.8M shares |
MSIF has the edge over MS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $671,000 |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $16M |
| Q4 2025 | $9M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $146,000 |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $4M |
MSIF spent $26M buying back its own shares over the past year, about four times what it spent the year before.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
MSIF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2022 | 8,292.9x | High |
| Q4 2021 | 8,673.8x | High |
| Q3 2021 | 7,131.8x | High |
| Q2 2021 | 6,517.7x | High |
MSIF's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MSIF.
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
MSIF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.7 | Neutral |
MSIF's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
MSIF PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MSIF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.4x | 13x | 43% below |
| PE % | 7 | 24 | 17 pts below |
MSIF has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MSIF has stronger trend alignment. MS is above 3 of 5 weekly averages versus MSIF above 3 of 3.
MSIF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.0 | 3.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $12.0 | 3.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.4 | 0% above |
MSIF has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 0% above its 50-week average.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has the edge over MSIF on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSIF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $16.3 | $13.6 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.6 | $12.4 | -8.8% |
MSIF has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's down 8.8% so far in 2026.