MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc.

68
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MRVL's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

WDC

Western Digital Corporation

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

WDC has the edge over MRVL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MRVL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

WDC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MRVL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$51.02-69%
Fair25x$75.19-54%
Forward25x$164—
Current54x$164—
Expensive71x$215+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRVL's PE is in its expensive range at 54x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

WDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$255-18%
Forward11x$311—
Current12x$311—
Fair19x$487+56%
Expensive63x$1,618+420%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WDC has the edge over MRVL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MRVL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MRVL, with profitability improving.

WDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for WDC, with profitability improving.

MRVL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+93%$316.61
Downside-22%$128.76

Calculated from the latest close: $164.45 on Nov 12.

MRVL trails WDC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

WDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+129%$712.82
Downside-18%$254.36

Calculated from the latest close: $311.21 on Nov 12.

WDC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MRVL, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MRVL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.51+116%
Q3 2026$3.02+$3.15
Q2 2026$2.91+$3.48
Q1 2026$3.07+$4.09
Q4 2025$2.85+$4.55
Q3 2025-$0.13+$0.98
Q2 2025-$0.57+$0.56
Q1 2025-$1.02+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.70-$1.05

MRVL has returned to profit: it earned $3.02 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

WDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$28.81+12%
Q3 2026$25.84+276%
Q2 2026$24.28+371%
Q1 2026$16.75+268%
Q4 2025$9.97+187%
Q3 2025$6.87+655%
Q2 2025$5.15+$7.76
Q1 2025$4.55+$9.61
Q4 2024$3.47+$10.69

WDC has the edge over MRVL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MRVL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B+37%
Q2 2026$2.4B+28%
Q1 2026$2.2B+22%
Q4 2025$2.1B+37%
Q3 2025$2B+58%
Q2 2025$1.9B+63%
Q1 2025$1.8B+27%
Q4 2024$1.5B+6.9%

MRVL has the edge over WDC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+55%
Q2 2026$3.7B+44%
Q1 2026$3.3B+45%
Q4 2025$3B-30%
Q3 2025$2.8B-31%
Q2 2025$2.6B-31%
Q1 2025$2.3B-34%
Q4 2024$4.3B+41%

WDC's revenue is growing: $4.4B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

MRVL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$478.8M+16%
Q2 2026$483.1M+126%
Q1 2026$259.4M-42%
Q4 2025$508.8M+10%
Q3 2025$414.1M+60%
Q2 2025$214.1M-8.1%
Q1 2025$444.1M-6.6%
Q4 2024$461.3M+2.8%

MRVL generated $1.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

WDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+130%
Q2 2026$1.3B+90%
Q1 2026$978M+158%
Q4 2025$653M+128%
Q3 2025$599M+$661M
Q2 2025$675M+170%
Q1 2025$379M+$418M
Q4 2024$287M+$529M

WDC has the edge over MRVL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MRVL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+27.9M shares
1 year+5.8%+50.8M shares
3 years+7%+60.3M shares
5 years+12%+100M shares
Available history+38%+253M shares

MRVL has 921M diluted shares, up 5.8% from a year ago, despite $1.9B in buybacks over the past year.

WDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+1M shares
1 year+2.1%+8M shares
3 years+19%+61M shares
5 years+22%+68M shares
Available history+29%+86M shares

WDC has the edge over MRVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MRVL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20211.5xHealthy
Q4 20200.5xVery low
Q3 20200.6xVery low
Q2 20200.7xVery low
Q1 20200.7xVery low
Q4 20195.3xHigh

MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

WDC Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

WDC has more cash than debt.

MRVL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

WDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic11.2Oversold

WDC's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MRVL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMRVLSector medianRelative
PE54x28x95% above
PE %753540 pts above

MRVL is trading at 54x earnings, a 95% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

WDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWDCSector medianRelative
PE12x28x57% below
PE %28357 pts below

WDC has the edge over MRVL on valuation relative to its sector.

MRVL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.026% below
20 week MA$220.926% below
50 week MA$168.82.5% below
100 week MA$124.832% above
200 week MA$93.875% above

MRVL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 75% above its 200-week average.

WDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$360.814% below
20 week MA$438.429% below
50 week MA$380.418% below
100 week MA$226.837% above
200 week MA$133.7133% above

WDC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.

MRVL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$47.1+76%
2021$47.1$87.7+86%
2022$87.7$37.2-58%
2023$37.2$60.3+62%
2024$60.3$113.6+88%
2025$113.6$86.3-24%
2026 YTD$86.3$164.5+90%

MRVL has the edge over WDC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.0$37.7-20%
2021$37.7$46.2+23%
2022$46.2$23.1-50%
2023$23.1$39.6+71%
2024$39.6$45.9+16%
2025$45.9$181.5+296%
2026 YTD$181.5$311.2+71%

WDC's yearly returns have swung widely, from +296% in 2025 to −50% in 2022. It's up 71% so far in 2026.

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