MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc.

68
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MRVL offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSM

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited

76
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

TSM has the edge over MRVL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MRVL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Unavailable
Unavailable
Strong

TSM's balance sheet is currently strong. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, profitability and cash flow.

MRVL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$51.02-69%
Fair25x$75.19-54%
Forward25x$164—
Current54x$164—
Expensive71x$215+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRVL's PE is in its expensive range at 54x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TSM PE Valuation

TSM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRVL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MRVL, with profitability improving.

TSM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSM, with profitability improving.

MRVL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+93%$316.61
Downside-22%$128.76

Calculated from the latest close: $164.45 on Nov 12.

MRVL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$508.50
Downside-18%$334.36

Calculated from the latest close: $405.49 on Nov 12.

TSM trails MRVL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MRVL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.51+116%
Q3 2026$3.02+$3.15
Q2 2026$2.91+$3.48
Q1 2026$3.07+$4.09
Q4 2025$2.85+$4.55
Q3 2025-$0.13+$0.98
Q2 2025-$0.57+$0.56
Q1 2025-$1.02+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.70-$1.05

MRVL has returned to profit: it earned $3.02 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

TSM Earnings Per Share

TSM and MRVL do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MRVL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B+37%
Q2 2026$2.4B+28%
Q1 2026$2.2B+22%
Q4 2025$2.1B+37%
Q3 2025$2B+58%
Q2 2025$1.9B+63%
Q1 2025$1.8B+27%
Q4 2024$1.5B+6.9%

MRVL's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $2.7B last quarter, up 37% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and MRVL do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MRVL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$478.8M+16%
Q2 2026$483.1M+126%
Q1 2026$259.4M-42%
Q4 2025$508.8M+10%
Q3 2025$414.1M+60%
Q2 2025$214.1M-8.1%
Q1 2025$444.1M-6.6%
Q4 2024$461.3M+2.8%

MRVL generated $1.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.

TSM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --

TSM and MRVL do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

MRVL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+27.9M shares
1 year+5.8%+50.8M shares
3 years+7%+60.3M shares
5 years+12%+100M shares
Available history+38%+253M shares

MRVL has 921M diluted shares, up 5.8% from a year ago, despite $1.9B in buybacks over the past year.

TSM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
Q4 2023: 5.2BQ1 2024: 5.2BQ2 2024: 5.2BQ3 2024: 5.2BQ4 2024: 5.2BQ1 2025: 5.2BQ2 2025: 5.2BQ3 2025: 5.2BQ4 2025: 5.2BQ1 2026: 5.2BQ2 2026: 5.2BQ3 2026: 5.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+45.8K shares
1 year0%+391K shares
3 years0%+528K shares
5 years0%+324K shares
Available history0%+324K shares

TSM has the edge over MRVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MRVL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20211.5xHealthy
Q4 20200.5xVery low
Q3 20200.6xVery low
Q2 20200.7xVery low
Q1 20200.7xVery low
Q4 20195.3xHigh

MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

TSM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: -0.5xQ1 2025: -0.6xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: -0.7xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.5xNet Cash

TSM has more cash than debt.

MRVL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

TSM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic28.9Neutral

TSM's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

MRVL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMRVLSector medianRelative
PE54x28x95% above
PE %753540 pts above

MRVL is trading at 54x earnings, a 95% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TSM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSMSector medianRelative
PE27x28x3.3% below
PE %453510 pts above

TSM has the edge over MRVL on valuation relative to its sector.

MRVL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.026% below
20 week MA$220.926% below
50 week MA$168.82.5% below
100 week MA$124.832% above
200 week MA$93.875% above

MRVL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 75% above its 200-week average.

TSM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$424.44.4% below
20 week MA$422.44% below
50 week MA$386.54.9% above
100 week MA$304.533% above
200 week MA$215.688% above

TSM has the edge over MRVL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MRVL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$47.1+76%
2021$47.1$87.7+86%
2022$87.7$37.2-58%
2023$37.2$60.3+62%
2024$60.3$113.6+88%
2025$113.6$86.3-24%
2026 YTD$86.3$164.5+90%

MRVL has the edge over TSM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$58.5$106.0+81%
2021$106.0$120.7+14%
2022$120.7$74.9-38%
2023$74.9$104.0+39%
2024$104.0$201.6+94%
2025$201.6$302.8+50%
2026 YTD$302.8$405.5+34%

TSM has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 34% so far in 2026.

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