MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc.

68
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MRVL has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MRVL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MRVL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$51.02-69%
Fair25x$75.19-54%
Forward25x$164—
Current54x$164—
Expensive71x$215+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRVL has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MRVL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

MRVL has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MRVL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+93%$316.61
Downside-22%$128.76

Calculated from the latest close: $164.45 on Nov 12.

MRVL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails MRVL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MRVL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.51+116%
Q3 2026$3.02+$3.15
Q2 2026$2.91+$3.48
Q1 2026$3.07+$4.09
Q4 2025$2.85+$4.55
Q3 2025-$0.13+$0.98
Q2 2025-$0.57+$0.56
Q1 2025-$1.02+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.70-$1.05

MRVL has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

MRVL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B+37%
Q2 2026$2.4B+28%
Q1 2026$2.2B+22%
Q4 2025$2.1B+37%
Q3 2025$2B+58%
Q2 2025$1.9B+63%
Q1 2025$1.8B+27%
Q4 2024$1.5B+6.9%

MRVL has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MRVL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$478.8M+16%
Q2 2026$483.1M+126%
Q1 2026$259.4M-42%
Q4 2025$508.8M+10%
Q3 2025$414.1M+60%
Q2 2025$214.1M-8.1%
Q1 2025$444.1M-6.6%
Q4 2024$461.3M+2.8%

MRVL has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

MRVL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+27.9M shares
1 year+5.8%+50.8M shares
3 years+7%+60.3M shares
5 years+12%+100M shares
Available history+38%+253M shares

MRVL has 921M diluted shares, up 5.8% from a year ago, despite $1.9B in buybacks over the past year.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over MRVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MRVL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20211.5xHealthy
Q4 20200.5xVery low
Q3 20200.6xVery low
Q2 20200.7xVery low
Q1 20200.7xVery low
Q4 20195.3xHigh

MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

MRVL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MRVL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMRVLSector medianRelative
PE54x28x95% above
PE %753540 pts above

MRVL has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MRVL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.026% below
20 week MA$220.926% below
50 week MA$168.82.5% below
100 week MA$124.832% above
200 week MA$93.875% above

MRVL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 75% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over MRVL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MRVL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$47.1+76%
2021$47.1$87.7+86%
2022$87.7$37.2-58%
2023$37.2$60.3+62%
2024$60.3$113.6+88%
2025$113.6$86.3-24%
2026 YTD$86.3$164.5+90%

MRVL has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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