MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc.
MRVL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SHOP
Shopify Inc.
SHOP has the edge over MRVL overall, supported by stronger valuation.
MRVL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SHOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MRVL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $51.02 | -69% |
| Fair | 25x | $75.19 | -54% |
| Forward | 25x | $164 | — |
| Current | 54x | $164 | — |
| Expensive | 71x | $215 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MRVL's PE is in its expensive range at 54x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
SHOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 67x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 78x | $129 | -12% |
| Current | 89x | $147 | — |
| Fair | 107x | $177 | +21% |
| Expensive | 338x | $557 | +280% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOP has the edge over MRVL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MRVL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
MRVL has the edge over SHOP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SHOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MRVL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.51 | +116% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.02 | +$3.15 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.91 | +$3.48 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.07 | +$4.09 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.85 | +$4.55 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.57 | +$0.56 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.02 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.70 | -$1.05 |
MRVL has the edge over SHOP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SHOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.65 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.49 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.02 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.94 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.36 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.24 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +1633% |
SHOP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.65 over the past year, against $2.68 in late 2021.
MRVL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +37% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | +6.9% |
MRVL has the edge over SHOP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +5.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +64 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +27 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | -46% | -36 points |
MRVL has the edge over SHOP on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SHOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +31% |
SHOP's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $3.7B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3.1 points |
SHOP's operating margin was 15% last quarter, up 3.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MRVL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $478.8M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $483.1M | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $259.4M | -42% |
| Q4 2025 | $508.8M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $414.1M | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $214.1M | -8.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $444.1M | -6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $461.3M | +2.8% |
MRVL generated $1.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
SHOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +55% |
| Q1 2026 | $476M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $715M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $507M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $422M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $611M | +37% |
SHOP has the edge over MRVL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MRVL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +27.9M shares |
| 1 year | +5.8% | +50.8M shares |
| 3 years | +7% | +60.3M shares |
| 5 years | +12% | +100M shares |
| Available history | +38% | +253M shares |
MRVL has 921M diluted shares, up 5.8% from a year ago, despite $1.9B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $200M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | $200.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $200M |
| Q2 2025 | $340M |
| Q1 2025 | $200M |
| Q4 2024 | $200M |
MRVL spent $1.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 102% from the year before.
SHOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -7.2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -22.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.1% | +14.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +130M shares |
SHOP has the edge over MRVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $491M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
MRVL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2020 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2020 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2020 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2019 | 5.3x | High |
MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
SHOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SHOP has more cash than debt.
MRVL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
SHOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.5 | Neutral |
SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
MRVL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MRVL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54x | 28x | 95% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
MRVL has the edge over SHOP on valuation relative to its sector.
SHOP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SHOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 89x | 28x | 219% above |
| PE % | 29 | 35 | 6 pts below |
SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MRVL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.0 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $220.9 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $168.8 | 2.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $124.8 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $93.8 | 75% above |
MRVL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 75% above its 200-week average.
SHOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.0 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $143.1 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $134.4 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.1 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.7 | 50% above |
SHOP has the edge over MRVL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MRVL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.7 | $47.1 | +76% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $87.7 | +86% |
| 2022 | $87.7 | $37.2 | -58% |
| 2023 | $37.2 | $60.3 | +62% |
| 2024 | $60.3 | $113.6 | +88% |
| 2025 | $113.6 | $86.3 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.3 | $164.5 | +90% |
MRVL has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SHOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $122.6 | +200% |
| 2021 | $122.6 | $143.9 | +17% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $33.7 | -77% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $77.9 | +131% |
| 2024 | $77.9 | $108.2 | +39% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $170.8 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $146.8 | -14% |
SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.