MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc.

68
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MRVL has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MRVL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MRVL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$51.02-69%
Fair25x$75.19-54%
Forward25x$164—
Current54x$164—
Expensive71x$215+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRVL's PE is in its expensive range at 54x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRVL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MRVL, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MRVL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+93%$316.61
Downside-22%$128.76

Calculated from the latest close: $164.45 on Nov 12.

MRVL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails MRVL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MRVL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.51+116%
Q3 2026$3.02+$3.15
Q2 2026$2.91+$3.48
Q1 2026$3.07+$4.09
Q4 2025$2.85+$4.55
Q3 2025-$0.13+$0.98
Q2 2025-$0.57+$0.56
Q1 2025-$1.02+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.70-$1.05

MRVL has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

MRVL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B+37%
Q2 2026$2.4B+28%
Q1 2026$2.2B+22%
Q4 2025$2.1B+37%
Q3 2025$2B+58%
Q2 2025$1.9B+63%
Q1 2025$1.8B+27%
Q4 2024$1.5B+6.9%

MRVL has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

MRVL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$478.8M+16%
Q2 2026$483.1M+126%
Q1 2026$259.4M-42%
Q4 2025$508.8M+10%
Q3 2025$414.1M+60%
Q2 2025$214.1M-8.1%
Q1 2025$444.1M-6.6%
Q4 2024$461.3M+2.8%

MRVL has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

MRVL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+27.9M shares
1 year+5.8%+50.8M shares
3 years+7%+60.3M shares
5 years+12%+100M shares
Available history+38%+253M shares

MRVL has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

MRVL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20211.5xHealthy
Q4 20200.5xVery low
Q3 20200.6xVery low
Q2 20200.7xVery low
Q1 20200.7xVery low
Q4 20195.3xHigh

MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MRVL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

MRVL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMRVLSector medianRelative
PE54x28x95% above
PE %753540 pts above

MRVL is trading at 54x earnings, a 95% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRVL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.026% below
20 week MA$220.926% below
50 week MA$168.82.5% below
100 week MA$124.832% above
200 week MA$93.875% above

MRVL has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

MRVL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$47.1+76%
2021$47.1$87.7+86%
2022$87.7$37.2-58%
2023$37.2$60.3+62%
2024$60.3$113.6+88%
2025$113.6$86.3-24%
2026 YTD$86.3$164.5+90%

MRVL has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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