MRVL

Marvell Technology, Inc.

68
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MRVL has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MRVL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MRVL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$51.02-69%
Fair25x$75.19-54%
Forward25x$164—
Current54x$164—
Expensive71x$215+31%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRVL's PE is in its expensive range at 54x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRVL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MRVL, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MRVL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+93%$316.61
Downside-22%$128.76

Calculated from the latest close: $164.45 on Nov 12.

MRVL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails MRVL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MRVL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
Q4 2023: $-0.65Q1 2024: $-1.08Q2 2024: $-1.13Q3 2024: $-1.11Q4 2024: $-1.70Q1 2025: $-1.02Q2 2025: $-0.57Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $2.85Q1 2026: $3.07Q2 2026: $2.91Q3 2026: $3.02Forward: $6.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.51+116%
Q3 2026$3.02+$3.15
Q2 2026$2.91+$3.48
Q1 2026$3.07+$4.09
Q4 2025$2.85+$4.55
Q3 2025-$0.13+$0.98
Q2 2025-$0.57+$0.56
Q1 2025-$1.02+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.70-$1.05

MRVL has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

MRVL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.3BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B+37%
Q2 2026$2.4B+28%
Q1 2026$2.2B+22%
Q4 2025$2.1B+37%
Q3 2025$2B+58%
Q2 2025$1.9B+63%
Q1 2025$1.8B+27%
Q4 2024$1.5B+6.9%

MRVL has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MRVL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
Q4 2023: $449MQ1 2024: $476MQ2 2024: $233MQ3 2024: $258MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $444MQ2 2025: $214MQ3 2025: $414MQ4 2025: $509MQ1 2026: $259MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $479M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$478.8M+16%
Q2 2026$483.1M+126%
Q1 2026$259.4M-42%
Q4 2025$508.8M+10%
Q3 2025$414.1M+60%
Q2 2025$214.1M-8.1%
Q1 2025$444.1M-6.6%
Q4 2024$461.3M+2.8%

MRVL has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

MRVL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
Q4 2023: 863MQ1 2024: 861MQ2 2024: 865MQ3 2024: 866MQ4 2024: 866MQ1 2025: 866MQ2 2025: 876MQ3 2025: 870MQ4 2025: 864MQ1 2026: 870MQ2 2026: 893MQ3 2026: 921M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+27.9M shares
1 year+5.8%+50.8M shares
3 years+7%+60.3M shares
5 years+12%+100M shares
Available history+38%+253M shares

MRVL has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

MRVL Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20211.5xHealthy
Q4 20200.5xVery low
Q3 20200.6xVery low
Q2 20200.7xVery low
Q1 20200.7xVery low
Q4 20195.3xHigh

MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MRVL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MRVL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMRVLSector medianRelative
PE54x28x95% above
PE %753540 pts above

MRVL is trading at 54x earnings, a 95% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRVL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.026% below
20 week MA$220.926% below
50 week MA$168.82.5% below
100 week MA$124.832% above
200 week MA$93.875% above

MRVL has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

MRVL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$26.7$47.1+76%
2021$47.1$87.7+86%
2022$87.7$37.2-58%
2023$37.2$60.3+62%
2024$60.3$113.6+88%
2025$113.6$86.3-24%
2026 YTD$86.3$164.5+90%

MRVL has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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