MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc.
MRVL has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MRVL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
MRVL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $51.02 | -69% |
| Fair | 25x | $75.19 | -54% |
| Forward | 25x | $164 | — |
| Current | 54x | $164 | — |
| Expensive | 71x | $215 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MRVL's PE is in its expensive range at 54x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over MRVL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MRVL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
MRVL has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MRVL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.51 | +116% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.02 | +$3.15 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.91 | +$3.48 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.07 | +$4.09 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.85 | +$4.55 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.57 | +$0.56 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.02 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.70 | -$1.05 |
MRVL has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
MRVL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +37% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | +6.9% |
MRVL has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +5.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +64 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +27 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | -46% | -36 points |
MRVL has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
MRVL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $478.8M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $483.1M | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $259.4M | -42% |
| Q4 2025 | $508.8M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $414.1M | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $214.1M | -8.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $444.1M | -6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $461.3M | +2.8% |
MRVL has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
MRVL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +27.9M shares |
| 1 year | +5.8% | +50.8M shares |
| 3 years | +7% | +60.3M shares |
| 5 years | +12% | +100M shares |
| Available history | +38% | +253M shares |
MRVL has 921M diluted shares, up 5.8% from a year ago, despite $1.9B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $200M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | $200.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $200M |
| Q2 2025 | $340M |
| Q1 2025 | $200M |
| Q4 2024 | $200M |
MRVL spent $1.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 102% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over MRVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
MRVL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2020 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2020 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2020 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2019 | 5.3x | High |
MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MRVL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
MRVL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MRVL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54x | 28x | 95% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
MRVL is trading at 54x earnings, a 95% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over MRVL on valuation relative to its sector.
MRVL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.0 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $220.9 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $168.8 | 2.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $124.8 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $93.8 | 75% above |
MRVL has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
MRVL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.7 | $47.1 | +76% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $87.7 | +86% |
| 2022 | $87.7 | $37.2 | -58% |
| 2023 | $37.2 | $60.3 | +62% |
| 2024 | $60.3 | $113.6 | +88% |
| 2025 | $113.6 | $86.3 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.3 | $164.5 | +90% |
MRVL has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.