MRVL
Marvell Technology, Inc.
MRVL has the edge over MS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MS
Morgan Stanley
MS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MRVL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
MRVL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.
MRVL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $51.02 | -69% |
| Fair | 25x | $75.19 | -54% |
| Forward | 25x | $164 | — |
| Current | 54x | $164 | — |
| Expensive | 71x | $215 | +31% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MRVL's PE is in its expensive range at 54x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $134 | -29% |
| Fair | 14x | $178 | -5.7% |
| Forward | 14x | $189 | — |
| Current | 15x | $189 | — |
| Expensive | 18x | $223 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MS has the edge over MRVL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MRVL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MRVL, with profitability improving.
MS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.
MRVL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.51 | +116% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.02 | +$3.15 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.91 | +$3.48 |
| Q1 2026 | $3.07 | +$4.09 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.85 | +$4.55 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.98 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.57 | +$0.56 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.02 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.70 | -$1.05 |
MRVL has returned to profit: it earned $3.02 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.39 | +6.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.60 | +29% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.37 | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.04 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.21 | +28% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.76 | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.84 | +45% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.53 | +55% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.95 | +53% |
MS has the edge over MRVL on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MRVL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.4B | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2B | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.1B | +37% |
| Q3 2025 | $2B | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9B | +63% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | +6.9% |
MRVL has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +5.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +64 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +22 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +27 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +15 points |
| Q4 2024 | -46% | -36 points |
MRVL's operating margin was 17% last quarter, up 2.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $20.3B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $21.3B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $17.9B | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $18.2B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $16.8B | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $17.7B | +17% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.2B | +26% |
MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 32% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 34% | +6.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 34% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 33% | +5.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 28% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 31% | +2.2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 30% | +14 points |
MS has the edge over MRVL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MRVL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $478.8M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $483.1M | +126% |
| Q1 2026 | $259.4M | -42% |
| Q4 2025 | $508.8M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $414.1M | +60% |
| Q2 2025 | $214.1M | -8.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $444.1M | -6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $461.3M | +2.8% |
MRVL has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$46B | -$42.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.7B | -123% |
| Q1 2026 | -$7.1B | +$16.9B |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.4B | -120% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.3B | +$14B |
| Q2 2025 | $11.8B | +368% |
| Q1 2025 | -$24B | -650% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.8B | +$29.6B |
MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
MRVL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.1% | +27.9M shares |
| 1 year | +5.8% | +50.8M shares |
| 3 years | +7% | +60.3M shares |
| 5 years | +12% | +100M shares |
| Available history | +38% | +253M shares |
MRVL has 921M diluted shares, up 5.8% from a year ago, despite $1.9B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $200M |
| Q2 2026 | $200M |
| Q1 2026 | $200.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B |
| Q3 2025 | $200M |
| Q2 2025 | $340M |
| Q1 2025 | $200M |
| Q4 2024 | $200M |
MRVL spent $1.9B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 102% from the year before.
MS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -3M shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -24M shares |
| 3 years | -4.7% | -77M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -246M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -74M shares |
MS has the edge over MRVL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
MRVL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2021 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2020 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2020 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2020 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2020 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q4 2019 | 5.3x | High |
MRVL's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
MS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.8x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 7.3x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 8.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 8.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 7.9x | High |
MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.
MRVL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
MRVL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
MS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.7 | Oversold |
MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
MRVL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MRVL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54x | 28x | 95% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
MRVL is trading at 54x earnings, a 95% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | MS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 15x | 13x | 15% above |
| PE % | 59 | 63 | 4 pts below |
MS has the edge over MRVL on valuation relative to its sector.
MRVL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.0 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $220.9 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $168.8 | 2.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $124.8 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $93.8 | 75% above |
MRVL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 75% above its 200-week average.
MS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $186.5 | 1.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $203.3 | 6.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $191.9 | 1.4% below |
| 100 week MA | $164.9 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $129.3 | 46% above |
MS has the edge over MRVL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MRVL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $26.7 | $47.1 | +76% |
| 2021 | $47.1 | $87.7 | +86% |
| 2022 | $87.7 | $37.2 | -58% |
| 2023 | $37.2 | $60.3 | +62% |
| 2024 | $60.3 | $113.6 | +88% |
| 2025 | $113.6 | $86.3 | -24% |
| 2026 YTD | $86.3 | $164.5 | +90% |
MRVL has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $51.1 | $68.1 | +33% |
| 2021 | $68.1 | $99.3 | +46% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $86.1 | -13% |
| 2023 | $86.1 | $93.3 | +8.3% |
| 2024 | $93.3 | $126.8 | +36% |
| 2025 | $126.8 | $181.9 | +43% |
| 2026 YTD | $181.9 | $189.2 | +4% |
MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.