MRTN

Marten Transport, Ltd.

50
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MRTN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over MRTN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MRTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

MRTN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MRTN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$2.77-77%
Fair21x$3.54-70%
Forward28x$11.93—
Expensive50x$8.45-29%
Current70x$11.93—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRTN's PE is in its expensive range at 70x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MRTN, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MRTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$17.99
Downside-10%$10.74

Calculated from the latest close: $11.93 on Nov 12.

MRTN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails MRTN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MRTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.86Q1 2024: $0.70Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $0.23Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.17Forward: $0.43
Q4 2023: $0.86Q1 2024: $0.70Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $0.23Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.17Forward: $0.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.43+155%
Q3 2026$0.17-26%
Q2 2026$0.16-36%
Q1 2026$0.18-31%
Q4 2025$0.21-36%
Q3 2025$0.23-44%
Q2 2025$0.25-53%
Q1 2025$0.26-63%
Q4 2024$0.33-62%

MRTN has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

MRTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $268MQ1 2024: $250MQ2 2024: $246MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $223MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $220MQ4 2025: $210MQ1 2026: $204MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $223M
Q4 2023: $268MQ1 2024: $250MQ2 2024: $246MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $223MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $220MQ4 2025: $210MQ1 2026: $204MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $223M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$223.2M+1.3%
Q2 2026$223.5M-2.8%
Q1 2026$203.5M-8.8%
Q4 2025$210.1M-8.8%
Q3 2025$220.5M-7.1%
Q2 2025$229.9M-6.6%
Q1 2025$223.2M-11%
Q4 2024$230.4M-14%

MRTN's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $223M last quarter, up 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over MRTN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MRTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.6M+22%
Q2 2026$27.7M-17%
Q1 2026$33M-8.7%
Q4 2025$5.6M-77%
Q3 2025$18.5M-37%
Q2 2025$33.2M-7.4%
Q1 2025$36.2M-21%
Q4 2024$23.8M-37%

MRTN has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

MRTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 81MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 82M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 81MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 82M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+30K shares
1 year+0.2%+137K shares
3 years+0.3%+210K shares
5 years-2%-1.7M shares
Available history-1.2%-1M shares

MRTN has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

MRTN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

MRTN has more cash than debt.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MRTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.3Neutral
Stochastic18.3Oversold

MRTN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MRTN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMRTNSector medianRelative
PE70x24x192% above
PE %935835 pts above

MRTN is trading at 70x earnings, a 192% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.43.6% below
20 week MA$14.216% below
50 week MA$14.115% below
100 week MA$13.511% below
200 week MA$16.427% below

MRTN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over MRTN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MRTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.4$17.2+19%
2021$17.2$16.6-3.2%
2022$16.6$20.0+20%
2023$20.0$21.0+4.8%
2024$21.0$15.6-26%
2025$15.6$11.4-27%
2026 YTD$11.4$11.9+4.4%

MRTN has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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