MRTN

Marten Transport, Ltd.

50
Fundamentals45/ 100
Valuation10/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MRTN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over MRTN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MRTN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

MRTN's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MRTN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$2.77-77%
Fair21x$3.54-70%
Forward28x$11.93—
Expensive50x$8.45-29%
Current70x$11.93—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MRTN's PE is in its expensive range at 70x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 28x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRTN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MRTN, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MRTN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$17.99
Downside-10%$10.74

Calculated from the latest close: $11.93 on Nov 12.

MRTN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails MRTN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MRTN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.86Q1 2024: $0.70Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $0.23Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.17Forward: $0.43
Q4 2023: $0.86Q1 2024: $0.70Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.41Q4 2024: $0.33Q1 2025: $0.26Q2 2025: $0.25Q3 2025: $0.23Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.17Forward: $0.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.43+155%
Q3 2026$0.17-26%
Q2 2026$0.16-36%
Q1 2026$0.18-31%
Q4 2025$0.21-36%
Q3 2025$0.23-44%
Q2 2025$0.25-53%
Q1 2025$0.26-63%
Q4 2024$0.33-62%

MRTN has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

MRTN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $268MQ1 2024: $250MQ2 2024: $246MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $223MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $220MQ4 2025: $210MQ1 2026: $204MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $223M
Q4 2023: $268MQ1 2024: $250MQ2 2024: $246MQ3 2024: $237MQ4 2024: $230MQ1 2025: $223MQ2 2025: $230MQ3 2025: $220MQ4 2025: $210MQ1 2026: $204MQ2 2026: $224MQ3 2026: $223M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$223.2M+1.3%
Q2 2026$223.5M-2.8%
Q1 2026$203.5M-8.8%
Q4 2025$210.1M-8.8%
Q3 2025$220.5M-7.1%
Q2 2025$229.9M-6.6%
Q1 2025$223.2M-11%
Q4 2024$230.4M-14%

MRTN's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $223M last quarter, up 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over MRTN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MRTN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: $46MQ2 2024: $36MQ3 2024: $29MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $6MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$22.6M+22%
Q2 2026$27.7M-17%
Q1 2026$33M-8.7%
Q4 2025$5.6M-77%
Q3 2025$18.5M-37%
Q2 2025$33.2M-7.4%
Q1 2025$36.2M-21%
Q4 2024$23.8M-37%

MRTN has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

MRTN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 81MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 82M
Q4 2023: 81MQ1 2024: 81MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 81MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 82MQ3 2026: 82M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+30K shares
1 year+0.2%+137K shares
3 years+0.3%+210K shares
5 years-2%-1.7M shares
Available history-1.2%-1M shares

MRTN has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

MRTN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.3xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.3xQ1 2026: -0.6xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

MRTN has more cash than debt.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MRTN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.3Neutral
Stochastic18.3Oversold

MRTN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MRTN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMRTNSector medianRelative
PE70x24x192% above
PE %935835 pts above

MRTN is trading at 70x earnings, a 192% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRTN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.43.6% below
20 week MA$14.216% below
50 week MA$14.115% below
100 week MA$13.511% below
200 week MA$16.427% below

MRTN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% below its 200-week average.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

MRTN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.4$17.2+19%
2021$17.2$16.6-3.2%
2022$16.6$20.0+20%
2023$20.0$21.0+4.8%
2024$21.0$15.6-26%
2025$15.6$11.4-27%
2026 YTD$11.4$11.9+4.4%

MRTN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 4.4% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over MRTN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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