MRCY

Mercury Systems, Inc.

68
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

MRCY has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MRCY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

MRCY's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MRCY PE Valuation

MRCY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRCY Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MRCY to show an outlook.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MRCY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$124.86
Downside-32%$57.05

Calculated from the latest close: $83.43 on Nov 12.

MRCY trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MRCY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MRCY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.48Q1 2024: $-2.34Q2 2024: $-2.38Q3 2024: $-2.04Q4 2024: $-1.55Q1 2025: $-1.11Q2 2025: $-0.65Q3 2025: $-0.56Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $-0.50Q4 2026: $-0.08
Q4 2023: $-1.48Q1 2024: $-2.34Q2 2024: $-2.38Q3 2024: $-2.04Q4 2024: $-1.55Q1 2025: $-1.11Q2 2025: $-0.65Q3 2025: $-0.56Q4 2025: $-0.52Q1 2026: $-0.23Q3 2026: $-0.50Q4 2026: $-0.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.08+$0.48
Q2 2026-$0.50+$0.15
Q1 2026-$0.23+$0.88
Q4 2025-$0.52+$1.03
Q3 2025-$0.56+$1.48
Q2 2025-$0.65+$1.73
Q1 2025-$1.11+$1.23
Q4 2024-$1.55-$0.07

MRCY has the edge over RKLB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

MRCY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $208MQ2 2024: $249MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $273MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $236MQ3 2026: $290MQ4 2026: $253M
Q4 2023: $197MQ1 2024: $208MQ2 2024: $249MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $223MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $273MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $236MQ3 2026: $290MQ4 2026: $253M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$253.2M+12%
Q2 2026$289.8M+6.1%
Q1 2026$235.8M+12%
Q4 2025$232.9M+4.4%
Q3 2025$225.2M+10%
Q2 2025$273.1M+9.9%
Q1 2025$211.4M+1.5%
Q4 2024$223.1M+13%

MRCY's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $253M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over MRCY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MRCY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $29MQ4 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: $38MQ1 2024: −$26MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: −$21MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $34MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: $46MQ1 2026: −$2MQ3 2026: $29MQ4 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24.4M-$20M
Q2 2026$28.6M-16%
Q1 2026-$1.8M-108%
Q4 2025$45.7M-44%
Q3 2025-$4.4M+$16.5M
Q2 2025$34M-45%
Q1 2025$24.1M+$49.8M
Q4 2024$81.9M+118%

MRCY has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

MRCY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59MQ4 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 59MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 59MQ4 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+2.2M shares
1 year+4.1%+2.4M shares
3 years+7.9%+4.5M shares
5 years+11%+6.2M shares
Available history+12%+6.6M shares

MRCY has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

MRCY Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -41.6xQ1 2025: -8.4xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ3 2026: -2.9xQ4 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2024: -41.6xQ1 2025: -8.4xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -4.7xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ3 2026: -2.9xQ4 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-4.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-8.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-41.6xNet Cash

MRCY has more cash than debt.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MRCY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.7Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

MRCY's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MRCY PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMRCYSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

MRCY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MRCY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$78.85.9% above
20 week MA$90.47.8% below
50 week MA$89.26.5% below
100 week MA$72.215% above
200 week MA$54.753% above

MRCY's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 53% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

MRCY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$70.3$86.6+23%
2021$86.6$55.9-35%
2022$55.9$43.5-22%
2023$43.5$36.6-16%
2024$36.6$41.9+14%
2025$41.9$74.2+77%
2026 YTD$74.2$83.4+12%

MRCY has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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