MQ

Marqeta, Inc.

73
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MQ has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over MQ overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

MQ's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MQ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE114x227x341x455x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE114x227x341x455x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current15x$18.03—
Forward39x$18.03—
Cheap57x$71.08+294%
Fair153x$190+953%
Expensive383x$474+2531%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MQ has the edge over PLTR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

MQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MQ, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over MQ on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

MQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$24.39
Downside-18%$14.83

Calculated from the latest close: $18.03 on Nov 12.

MQ trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MQ, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-1.44Q2 2024: $-0.08Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $-0.32Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $0.04Q2 2026: $0.11Q3 2026: $1.24Forward: $0.47
Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-1.44Q2 2024: $-0.08Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $-0.32Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $0.04Q2 2026: $0.11Q3 2026: $1.24Forward: $0.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.47-62%
Q3 2026$1.24+$1.56
Q2 2026$0.11+$0.63
Q1 2026$0.04-90%
Q4 2025-$0.12-160%
Q3 2025-$0.32-500%
Q2 2025-$0.52-$0.44
Q1 2025$0.40+$1.84
Q4 2024$0.20+$1.88

MQ has returned to profit: it earned $1.24 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over MQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $118MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $136MQ1 2025: $139MQ2 2025: $150MQ3 2025: $163MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $176MQ3 2026: $176M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $118MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $136MQ1 2025: $139MQ2 2025: $150MQ3 2025: $163MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $176MQ3 2026: $176M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$176.2M+7.9%
Q2 2026$176M+17%
Q1 2026$165.8M+19%
Q4 2025$172.1M+27%
Q3 2025$163.3M+28%
Q2 2025$150.4M+20%
Q1 2025$139.1M+18%
Q4 2024$135.8M+14%

MQ's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $176M last quarter, up 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over MQ on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: −$765,000Q2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: −$765,000Q2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26M-70%
Q2 2026$63M+416%
Q1 2026-$4.6M-153%
Q4 2025$53.5M+116%
Q3 2025$86.4M+1118%
Q2 2025$12.2M-51%
Q1 2025$8.7M+$9.5M
Q4 2024$24.7M+50%

MQ generated $138M in free cash flow over the past year, up 4.4% from the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over MQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 133MQ1 2024: 129MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 127MQ4 2024: 130MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 112MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 133MQ1 2024: 129MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 127MQ4 2024: 130MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 112MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-1M shares
1 year-5.7%-6.4M shares
3 years-20%-26.6M shares
5 years+80%+47.1M shares
Available history-12%-15.1M shares

MQ has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MQ Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -31.8xQ1 2026: -138.1xQ2 2026: -33.3xQ3 2026: -17.2x
Q1 2025: -31.8xQ1 2026: -138.1xQ2 2026: -33.3xQ3 2026: -17.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-17.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-33.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-138.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-31.8xNet Cash

MQ has the edge over PLTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

MQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.5Neutral
Stochastic71.8Neutral

MQ's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

MQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMQSector medianRelative
PE15x28x48% below
PE %04343 pts below

MQ has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.00.3% above
20 week MA$17.15.3% above
50 week MA$17.06.1% above
100 week MA$18.10.3% below
200 week MA$19.89% below

MQ has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 9% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over MQ on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$126.0$69.8-45%
2022$69.8$24.0-66%
2023$24.0$27.9+16%
2024$27.9$14.6-48%
2025$14.6$19.4+33%
2026 YTD$19.4$18.0-7.3%

MQ has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

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