MQ

Marqeta, Inc.

73
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation68/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

MQ's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over MQ overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

MQ Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

MQ's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MQ PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE114x227x341x455x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE114x227x341x455x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current15x$18.03—
Forward39x$18.03—
Cheap57x$71.08+294%
Fair153x$190+953%
Expensive383x$474+2531%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MQ's PE is in its cheap range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 39x.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

MQ Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MQ, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MQ Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$24.39
Downside-18%$14.83

Calculated from the latest close: $18.03 on Nov 12.

MQ trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MQ, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MQ Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-1.44Q2 2024: $-0.08Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $-0.32Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $0.04Q2 2026: $0.11Q3 2026: $1.24Forward: $0.47
Q4 2023: $-1.68Q1 2024: $-1.44Q2 2024: $-0.08Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.20Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.52Q3 2025: $-0.32Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $0.04Q2 2026: $0.11Q3 2026: $1.24Forward: $0.47
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.47-62%
Q3 2026$1.24+$1.56
Q2 2026$0.11+$0.63
Q1 2026$0.04-90%
Q4 2025-$0.12-160%
Q3 2025-$0.32-500%
Q2 2025-$0.52-$0.44
Q1 2025$0.40+$1.84
Q4 2024$0.20+$1.88

MQ has returned to profit: it earned $1.24 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over MQ on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MQ Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $118MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $136MQ1 2025: $139MQ2 2025: $150MQ3 2025: $163MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $176MQ3 2026: $176M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $118MQ2 2024: $125MQ3 2024: $128MQ4 2024: $136MQ1 2025: $139MQ2 2025: $150MQ3 2025: $163MQ4 2025: $172MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $176MQ3 2026: $176M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$176.2M+7.9%
Q2 2026$176M+17%
Q1 2026$165.8M+19%
Q4 2025$172.1M+27%
Q3 2025$163.3M+28%
Q2 2025$150.4M+20%
Q1 2025$139.1M+18%
Q4 2024$135.8M+14%

MQ's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $176M last quarter, up 7.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MQ on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MQ Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: −$765,000Q2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: −$765,000Q2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $53MQ1 2026: −$5MQ2 2026: $63MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26M-70%
Q2 2026$63M+416%
Q1 2026-$4.6M-153%
Q4 2025$53.5M+116%
Q3 2025$86.4M+1118%
Q2 2025$12.2M-51%
Q1 2025$8.7M+$9.5M
Q4 2024$24.7M+50%

MQ generated $138M in free cash flow over the past year, up 4.4% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MQ on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MQ Total Shares

Q4 2023: 133MQ1 2024: 129MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 127MQ4 2024: 130MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 112MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 106M
Q4 2023: 133MQ1 2024: 129MQ2 2024: 131MQ3 2024: 127MQ4 2024: 130MQ1 2025: 125MQ2 2025: 115MQ3 2025: 112MQ4 2025: 116MQ1 2026: 108MQ2 2026: 107MQ3 2026: 106M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-1M shares
1 year-5.7%-6.4M shares
3 years-20%-26.6M shares
5 years+80%+47.1M shares
Available history-12%-15.1M shares

MQ has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

MQ Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -31.8xQ1 2026: -138.1xQ2 2026: -33.3xQ3 2026: -17.2x
Q1 2025: -31.8xQ1 2026: -138.1xQ2 2026: -33.3xQ3 2026: -17.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-17.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-33.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-138.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-31.8xNet Cash

MQ has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MQ Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.5Neutral
Stochastic71.8Neutral

MQ's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MQ PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMQSector medianRelative
PE15x28x48% below
PE %04343 pts below

MQ has the edge over NVDA on valuation relative to its sector.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MQ Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.00.3% above
20 week MA$17.15.3% above
50 week MA$17.06.1% above
100 week MA$18.10.3% below
200 week MA$19.89% below

MQ has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

MQ Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$126.0$69.8-45%
2022$69.8$24.0-66%
2023$24.0$27.9+16%
2024$27.9$14.6-48%
2025$14.6$19.4+33%
2026 YTD$19.4$18.0-7.3%

MQ has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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