MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

74
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation59/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

MPWR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over MPWR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MPWR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

MPWR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MPWR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x133x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x133x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$1,447—
Cheap45x$808-44%
Fair77x$1,400-3.3%
Current80x$1,447—
Expensive105x$1,910+32%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MPWR's PE is in its fair range at 80x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over MPWR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MPWR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

MPWR has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MPWR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$2,329.97
Downside-17%$1,194.87

Calculated from the latest close: $1,447.40 on Nov 12.

MPWR trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MPWR, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MPWR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.76Q1 2024: $8.39Q2 2024: $8.40Q3 2024: $8.87Q4 2024: $36.59Q1 2025: $37.49Q2 2025: $38.22Q3 2025: $38.98Q4 2025: $12.78Q1 2026: $13.91Q2 2026: $16.35Q3 2026: $18.15Forward: $42.12
Q4 2023: $8.76Q1 2024: $8.39Q2 2024: $8.40Q3 2024: $8.87Q4 2024: $36.59Q1 2025: $37.49Q2 2025: $38.22Q3 2025: $38.98Q4 2025: $12.78Q1 2026: $13.91Q2 2026: $16.35Q3 2026: $18.15Forward: $42.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$42.12+132%
Q3 2026$18.15-53%
Q2 2026$16.35-57%
Q1 2026$13.91-63%
Q4 2025$12.78-65%
Q3 2025$38.98+339%
Q2 2025$38.22+355%
Q1 2025$37.49+347%
Q4 2024$36.59+318%

MPWR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $18.15 over the past year, against $38.98 in late 2025.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

MPWR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $454MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $620MQ4 2024: $622MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $665MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $751MQ1 2026: $804MQ2 2026: $981MQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $454MQ1 2024: $458MQ2 2024: $507MQ3 2024: $620MQ4 2024: $622MQ1 2025: $638MQ2 2025: $665MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $751MQ1 2026: $804MQ2 2026: $981MQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+63%
Q2 2026$980.6M+48%
Q1 2026$804.2M+26%
Q4 2025$751.2M+21%
Q3 2025$737.2M+19%
Q2 2025$664.6M+31%
Q1 2025$637.6M+39%
Q4 2024$621.7M+37%

MPWR's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $1.2B last quarter, up 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MPWR on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MPWR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $145MQ3 2026: $221M
Q4 2023: $140MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $109MQ3 2024: $198MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $189MQ3 2025: $197MQ4 2025: $64MQ1 2026: $179MQ2 2026: $145MQ3 2026: $221M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$220.6M+12%
Q2 2026$145.5M-23%
Q1 2026$179.4M-17%
Q4 2025$63.9M-38%
Q3 2025$196.8M-0.6%
Q2 2025$189.5M+73%
Q1 2025$216M-6.9%
Q4 2024$102.9M-26%

MPWR generated $609M in free cash flow over the past year, down 14% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MPWR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MPWR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 49M
Q4 2023: 49MQ1 2024: 49MQ2 2024: 49MQ3 2024: 49MQ4 2024: 49MQ1 2025: 48MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-76K shares
1 year+2.4%+1.1M shares
3 years+0.8%+392K shares
5 years+2.8%+1.3M shares
Available history+5.8%+2.7M shares

MPWR has 49M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over MPWR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MPWR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -1.0xQ2 2024: -1.1xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.2xQ1 2025: -1.0xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.4xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.2xNet Cash

MPWR has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MPWR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.1Neutral
Stochastic40.0Neutral

MPWR's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MPWR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMPWRSector medianRelative
PE80x28x186% above
PE %533518 pts above

MPWR is trading at 80x earnings, a 186% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over MPWR on valuation relative to its sector.

MPWR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,299.211% above
20 week MA$1,307.911% above
50 week MA$1,268.314% above
100 week MA$1,001.645% above
200 week MA$812.978% above

MPWR has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

MPWR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$178.4$357.1+100%
2021$357.1$495.6+39%
2022$495.6$350.6-29%
2023$350.6$630.8+80%
2024$630.8$612.7-2.9%
2025$612.7$946.3+54%
2026 YTD$946.3$1,447.4+53%

MPWR has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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