MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
MPWR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has a slight edge over MPWR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
MPWR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MPWR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MPWR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 34x | $1,447 | — |
| Cheap | 45x | $808 | -44% |
| Fair | 77x | $1,400 | -3.3% |
| Current | 80x | $1,447 | — |
| Expensive | 105x | $1,910 | +32% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MPWR's PE is in its fair range at 80x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 34x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over MPWR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MPWR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MPWR has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
MPWR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $42.12 | +132% |
| Q3 2026 | $18.15 | -53% |
| Q2 2026 | $16.35 | -57% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.91 | -63% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.78 | -65% |
| Q3 2025 | $38.98 | +339% |
| Q2 2025 | $38.22 | +355% |
| Q1 2025 | $37.49 | +347% |
| Q4 2024 | $36.59 | +318% |
MPWR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $18.15 over the past year, against $38.98 in late 2025.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.
MPWR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +63% |
| Q2 2026 | $980.6M | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $804.2M | +26% |
| Q4 2025 | $751.2M | +21% |
| Q3 2025 | $737.2M | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $664.6M | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $637.6M | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $621.7M | +37% |
MPWR has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 30% | +3.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 31% | +6.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | 0 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 26% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +2.1 points |
MPWR's operating margin was 30% last quarter, up 3.3 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over MPWR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MPWR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $220.6M | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $145.5M | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $179.4M | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $63.9M | -38% |
| Q3 2025 | $196.8M | -0.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $189.5M | +73% |
| Q1 2025 | $216M | -6.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $102.9M | -26% |
MPWR has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
MPWR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -76K shares |
| 1 year | +2.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 3 years | +0.8% | +392K shares |
| 5 years | +2.8% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +5.8% | +2.7M shares |
MPWR has 49M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $453.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $2.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6M |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $622.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $5.5M |
| Q2 2024 | $4.6M |
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over MPWR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
MPWR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
MPWR has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MPWR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 40.0 | Neutral |
MPWR's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
MPWR PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MPWR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 80x | 28x | 186% above |
| PE % | 53 | 35 | 18 pts above |
MPWR is trading at 80x earnings, a 186% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over MPWR on valuation relative to its sector.
MPWR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,299.2 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,307.9 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,268.3 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $1,001.6 | 45% above |
| 200 week MA | $812.9 | 78% above |
MPWR has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
MPWR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $178.4 | $357.1 | +100% |
| 2021 | $357.1 | $495.6 | +39% |
| 2022 | $495.6 | $350.6 | -29% |
| 2023 | $350.6 | $630.8 | +80% |
| 2024 | $630.8 | $612.7 | -2.9% |
| 2025 | $612.7 | $946.3 | +54% |
| 2026 YTD | $946.3 | $1,447.4 | +53% |
MPWR has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.