MPLX

MPLX Lp

49
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation37/ 100
Upside potential29/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

MPLX's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 13x earnings, above its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MPLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

MPLX's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MPLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.9x10x14x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.4x6.9x10x14x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$39.76-30%
Fair11x$48.62-14%
Expensive12x$52.34-7.5%
Forward12x$56.59—
Current13x$56.59—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MPLX's PE is in its expensive range at 13x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

MPLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MPLX, but weaker profitability.

MPLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$62.34
Downside-25%$42.57

Calculated from the latest close: $56.59 on Nov 12.

MPLX's one-year downside scenario is more than twice its upside: −25% against +10%.

MPLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.80Q1 2024: $3.87Q2 2024: $4.11Q3 2024: $4.23Q4 2024: $4.21Q1 2025: $4.33Q2 2025: $4.21Q3 2025: $4.72Q4 2025: $4.82Q1 2026: $4.62Q2 2026: $4.65Q3 2026: $4.28Forward: $4.64
Q4 2023: $3.80Q1 2024: $3.87Q2 2024: $4.11Q3 2024: $4.23Q4 2024: $4.21Q1 2025: $4.33Q2 2025: $4.21Q3 2025: $4.72Q4 2025: $4.82Q1 2026: $4.62Q2 2026: $4.65Q3 2026: $4.28Forward: $4.64
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.64+8.4%
Q3 2026$4.28-9.3%
Q2 2026$4.65+10%
Q1 2026$4.62+6.7%
Q4 2025$4.82+14%
Q3 2025$4.72+12%
Q2 2025$4.21+2.4%
Q1 2025$4.33+12%
Q4 2024$4.21+11%

MPLX earned $4.28 per share over the past year, down 9.3% from the year before.

MPLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.6B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $2.8BQ2 2024: $3.1BQ3 2024: $3BQ4 2024: $3.1BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.3BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.6B-0.4%
Q2 2026$3.3B+10%
Q1 2026$3B-2.8%
Q4 2025$3.3B+6.2%
Q3 2025$3.6B+22%
Q2 2025$3B-1.6%
Q1 2025$3.1B+9.8%
Q4 2024$3.1B+3.3%

MPLX's revenue has held roughly level: $3.6B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MPLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $979MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $905MQ4 2025: $782MQ1 2026: $772MQ2 2026: $877MQ3 2026: $682M
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $979MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $905MQ4 2025: $782MQ1 2026: $772MQ2 2026: $877MQ3 2026: $682M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$682M-25%
Q2 2026$877M-39%
Q1 2026$772M-21%
Q4 2025$782M-43%
Q3 2025$905M-20%
Q2 2025$1.4B+6.1%
Q1 2025$979M-5.5%
Q4 2024$1.4B+13%

MPLX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $3.1B over the past year, down 34% from the year before.

MPLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 1BQ1 2024: 1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-831K shares
1 year-0.4%-4M shares
3 years+1.2%+11.8M shares
5 years-0.7%-6.8M shares
Available history-4.3%-45.4M shares

MPLX has 1B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MPLX Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20213.5xElevated
Q2 20213.8xElevated
Q1 20214.0xElevated
Q4 202012.7xHigh
Q3 202073.9xHigh
Q2 202079.4xHigh

MPLX's net debt is about 3.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

MPLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic42.1Neutral

MPLX's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).

MPLX PE vs Energy Sector

MetricMPLXSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %1006139 pts above

MPLX is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Energy sector's median of 13x.

MPLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$57.41.5% below
20 week MA$58.12.6% below
50 week MA$56.90.5% below
100 week MA$54.04.8% above
200 week MA$46.322% above

MPLX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 22% above its 200-week average.

MPLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.8$21.7-16%
2021$21.7$28.9+33%
2022$28.9$32.7+13%
2023$32.7$36.7+12%
2024$36.7$47.5+29%
2025$47.5$53.9+14%
2026 YTD$53.9$56.6+4.9%

MPLX has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4.9% so far in 2026.

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