MPAA

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.

47
Fundamentals35/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MPAA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has the edge over MPAA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

MPAA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure

MPAA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MPAA PE Valuation

MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MPAA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect MPAA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MPAA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$11.07
Downside-30%$5.39

Calculated from the latest close: $7.71 on Nov 12.

MPAA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails MPAA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MPAA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-2.51Q2 2024: $-3.36Q3 2024: $-3.41Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-0.99Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.62Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.16Forward: $1.61
Q4 2023: $-2.49Q1 2024: $-2.51Q2 2024: $-3.36Q3 2024: $-3.41Q4 2024: $-0.90Q1 2025: $-0.99Q2 2025: $0.08Q3 2025: $0.12Q4 2025: $0.10Q1 2026: $0.62Q2 2026: $-0.24Q3 2026: $-0.16Forward: $1.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.61—
Q3 2026-$0.16-233%
Q2 2026-$0.24-400%
Q1 2026$0.62+$1.61
Q4 2025$0.10+$1.00
Q3 2025$0.12+$3.53
Q2 2025$0.08+$3.44
Q1 2025-$0.99+$1.52
Q4 2024-$0.90+$1.59

MPAA has swung to a loss: it lost $0.16 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA has the edge over MPAA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MPAA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $208MQ4 2024: $186MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $221MQ4 2025: $168MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $168MQ3 2026: $169M
Q4 2023: $172MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $170MQ3 2024: $208MQ4 2024: $186MQ1 2025: $193MQ2 2025: $188MQ3 2025: $221MQ4 2025: $168MQ1 2026: $212MQ2 2026: $168MQ3 2026: $169M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$169.2M-24%
Q2 2026$168M-11%
Q1 2026$212.3M+9.9%
Q4 2025$167.7M-9.9%
Q3 2025$221.5M+6.4%
Q2 2025$188.4M+11%
Q1 2025$193.1M+1.9%
Q4 2024$186.2M+8.3%

MPAA has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MPAA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: −$5M
Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $9MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$12MQ3 2026: −$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.8M-123%
Q2 2026-$12.4M-235%
Q1 2026-$6M-195%
Q4 2025-$8.6M-126%
Q3 2025$20.8M-6.5%
Q2 2025$9.2M+$30.6M
Q1 2025$6.2M+$16.1M
Q4 2024$33.7M-37%

MPAA's free cash flow was −$32M over the past year, against $70M the year before.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA has the edge over MPAA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MPAA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 22M
Q4 2023: 20MQ1 2024: 20MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 19MQ4 2025: 20MQ1 2026: 20MQ2 2026: 19MQ3 2026: 22M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+3.6M shares
1 year+16%+3.1M shares
3 years+15%+2.9M shares
5 years+15%+2.9M shares
Available history+16%+3.2M shares

MPAA has 22M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $10M in buybacks over the past year.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over MPAA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MPAA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 1.5xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 3.5xQ3 2024: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20243.0xElevated
Q2 20243.5xElevated
Q1 20242.0xModerate
Q4 20231.5xHealthy
Q3 20232.5xModerate
Q2 20233.1xElevated
Q1 20232.8xModerate
Q1 20203.9xElevated

MPAA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

MPAA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.6Oversold
Stochastic11.6Oversold

MPAA's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MPAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMPAASector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MPAA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.124% below
20 week MA$11.734% below
50 week MA$11.935% below
100 week MA$11.634% below
200 week MA$9.6520% below

MPAA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over MPAA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MPAA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.9$19.9-9.2%
2021$19.9$16.7-16%
2022$16.7$11.3-32%
2023$11.3$9.34-17%
2024$9.34$8.05-14%
2025$8.05$12.5+55%
2026 YTD$12.5$7.71-38%

MPAA has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over MPAA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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