MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.
MPAA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over MPAA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MPAA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
MPAA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
MPAA PE Valuation
MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
MPAA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
MPAA has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MPAA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.61 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.16 | -233% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.24 | -400% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.62 | +$1.61 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$1.00 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.12 | +$3.53 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.08 | +$3.44 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.99 | +$1.52 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.90 | +$1.59 |
MPAA has swung to a loss: it lost $0.16 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over MPAA on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
MPAA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $169.2M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $168M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $212.3M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $167.7M | -9.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $221.5M | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $188.4M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $193.1M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $186.2M | +8.3% |
MPAA has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1% | -8.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | -4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.4% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.4% | +3.9 points |
MPAA's operating margin was 5.9% last quarter, down 1.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over MPAA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MPAA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.8M | -123% |
| Q2 2026 | -$12.4M | -235% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6M | -195% |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.6M | -126% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.8M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.2M | +$30.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.2M | +$16.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $33.7M | -37% |
MPAA's free cash flow was −$32M over the past year, against $70M the year before.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE has the edge over MPAA on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MPAA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +3.6M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +3.1M shares |
| 3 years | +15% | +2.9M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +2.9M shares |
| Available history | +16% | +3.2M shares |
MPAA has 22M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $10M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $2M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
MPAA spent $10M buying back its own shares over the past year.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over MPAA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
MPAA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2024 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2023 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2023 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2023 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2020 | 3.9x | Elevated |
MPAA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MPAA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 11.6 | Oversold |
MPAA's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
MPAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MPAA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MPAA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.1 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.9 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 34% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.65 | 20% below |
MPAA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over MPAA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MPAA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.9 | $19.9 | -9.2% |
| 2021 | $19.9 | $16.7 | -16% |
| 2022 | $16.7 | $11.3 | -32% |
| 2023 | $11.3 | $9.34 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.34 | $8.05 | -14% |
| 2025 | $8.05 | $12.5 | +55% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.5 | $7.71 | -38% |
MPAA has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 38% so far in 2026.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over MPAA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.