MPAA
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc.
MPAA offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over MPAA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
MPAA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure |
MPAA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MPAA PE Valuation
MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MPAA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect MPAA's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over MPAA on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
MPAA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.61 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.16 | -233% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.24 | -400% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.62 | +$1.61 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.10 | +$1.00 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.12 | +$3.53 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.08 | +$3.44 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.99 | +$1.52 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.90 | +$1.59 |
MPAA has swung to a loss: it lost $0.16 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over MPAA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MPAA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $169.2M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $168M | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $212.3M | +9.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $167.7M | -9.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $221.5M | +6.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $188.4M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $193.1M | +1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $186.2M | +8.3% |
MPAA's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $169M last quarter, down 24% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 5.9% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1% | -8.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +1.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5% | -4.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.4% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +14 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.4% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.4% | +3.9 points |
MPAA has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over MPAA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MPAA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.8M | -123% |
| Q2 2026 | -$12.4M | -235% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6M | -195% |
| Q4 2025 | -$8.6M | -126% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.8M | -6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.2M | +$30.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $6.2M | +$16.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $33.7M | -37% |
MPAA's free cash flow was −$32M over the past year, against $70M the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over MPAA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MPAA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +19% | +3.6M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +3.1M shares |
| 3 years | +15% | +2.9M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +2.9M shares |
| Available history | +16% | +3.2M shares |
MPAA has 22M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago, despite $10M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $1.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $3M |
| Q4 2025 | $5M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4M |
| Q2 2025 | $2M |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
MPAA spent $10M buying back its own shares over the past year.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has the edge over MPAA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
MPAA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2024 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2024 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q1 2024 | 2.0x | Moderate |
| Q4 2023 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2023 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2023 | 3.1x | Elevated |
| Q1 2023 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q1 2020 | 3.9x | Elevated |
MPAA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.5 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MPAA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 26.6 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 11.6 | Oversold |
MPAA's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
MPAA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MPAA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
MPAA has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MPAA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $10.1 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.7 | 34% below |
| 50 week MA | $11.9 | 35% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 34% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.65 | 20% below |
MPAA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
MPAA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.9 | $19.9 | -9.2% |
| 2021 | $19.9 | $16.7 | -16% |
| 2022 | $16.7 | $11.3 | -32% |
| 2023 | $11.3 | $9.34 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.34 | $8.05 | -14% |
| 2025 | $8.05 | $12.5 | +55% |
| 2026 YTD | $12.5 | $7.71 | -38% |
MPAA has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.