MOS
The Mosaic Company
MOS lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to fall sharply, though they disagree widely on how much.
MOS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
MOS's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.
MOS PE Valuation
MOS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MOS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect MOS's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MOS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.65 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$3.53 | -191% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.01 | -168% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.14 | -88% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | +209% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.86 | +239% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.95 | +293% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.16 | -51% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.55 | -84% |
MOS has swung to a loss: it lost $3.53 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
MOS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -10% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | -6% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.5B | +23% |
| Q2 2025 | $3B | +6.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | -2.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | -11% |
MOS's revenue fell from its 2022 peak and has held roughly level since: $3.1B last quarter, down 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.1% | -13 points |
| Q2 2026 | -1.3% | -9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -12% | -25 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4% | -6.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.1% | -0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +6.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.5% | -5.3 points |
MOS's operating margin was −3.1% last quarter, down 13 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MOS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.9M | +$138.8M |
| Q2 2026 | -$152.9M | -150% |
| Q1 2026 | -$252.6M | +$45.3M |
| Q4 2025 | -$405.7M | -$330.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$135.9M | -288% |
| Q2 2025 | $304.9M | -41% |
| Q1 2025 | -$297.9M | +$165.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$74.8M | -142% |
MOS has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$808M over the past year, against −$204M the year before.
MOS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | -0.5% | -1.5M shares |
| 3 years | -4.1% | -13.6M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -65.3M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -65.9M shares |
MOS has 318M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $25M |
| Q3 2024 | $50M |
| Q2 2024 | $52M |
| Q1 2024 | $108.4M |
MOS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 3.3x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
MOS's net debt is about 9.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.
MOS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 48.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.6 | Neutral |
MOS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
MOS PE vs Basic Materials Sector
| Metric | MOS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 19x | — |
MOS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MOS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.3 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $22.0 | 1% below |
| 50 week MA | $23.9 | 8.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $27.0 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $30.7 | 29% below |
MOS has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 29% below its 200-week average.
MOS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.2 | $22.0 | +3.5% |
| 2021 | $22.0 | $39.2 | +78% |
| 2022 | $39.2 | $45.1 | +15% |
| 2023 | $45.1 | $35.7 | -21% |
| 2024 | $35.7 | $23.9 | -33% |
| 2025 | $23.9 | $24.3 | +1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $24.3 | $21.8 | -10% |
MOS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.