MOH

Molina Healthcare, Inc.

58
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MOH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has the edge over MOH overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

MOH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

MOH's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

MOH PE Valuation

MOH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MOH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MOH, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MOH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$304.19
Downside-30%$147.23

Calculated from the latest close: $209.85 on Nov 12.

MOH trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MOH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MOH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $18.77Q1 2024: $18.42Q2 2024: $18.24Q3 2024: $19.68Q4 2024: $20.42Q1 2025: $20.70Q2 2025: $20.28Q3 2025: $16.14Q4 2025: $8.92Q1 2026: $3.74Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $-0.60Forward: $8.35
Q4 2023: $18.77Q1 2024: $18.42Q2 2024: $18.24Q3 2024: $19.68Q4 2024: $20.42Q1 2025: $20.70Q2 2025: $20.28Q3 2025: $16.14Q4 2025: $8.92Q1 2026: $3.74Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $-0.60Forward: $8.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.35—
Q3 2026-$0.60-104%
Q2 2026$0.18-99%
Q1 2026$3.74-82%
Q4 2025$8.92-56%
Q3 2025$16.14-18%
Q2 2025$20.28+11%
Q1 2025$20.70+12%
Q4 2024$20.42+8.8%

MOH has swung to a loss: it lost $0.60 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over MOH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MOH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9BQ1 2024: $9.9BQ2 2024: $9.9BQ3 2024: $10.3BQ4 2024: $10.5BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $11.4BQ1 2026: $10.8BQ2 2026: $10.9BQ3 2026: $11.1B
Q4 2023: $9BQ1 2024: $9.9BQ2 2024: $9.9BQ3 2024: $10.3BQ4 2024: $10.5BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $11.4BQ1 2026: $10.8BQ2 2026: $10.9BQ3 2026: $11.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.1B-3.4%
Q2 2026$10.9B-4.8%
Q1 2026$10.8B-3.1%
Q4 2025$11.4B+8.3%
Q3 2025$11.5B+11%
Q2 2025$11.4B+16%
Q1 2025$11.1B+12%
Q4 2024$10.5B+16%

MOH's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $11.1B last quarter, down 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MOH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$685MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: −$246MQ3 2024: $838MQ4 2024: −$235MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: −$344MQ3 2025: −$163MQ4 2025: −$297MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: −$324MQ3 2026: −$196M
Q4 2023: −$685MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: −$246MQ3 2024: $838MQ4 2024: −$235MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: −$344MQ3 2025: −$163MQ4 2025: −$297MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: −$324MQ3 2026: −$196M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$196M-$33M
Q2 2026-$324M+$20M
Q1 2026$1.1B+528%
Q4 2025-$297M-$62M
Q3 2025-$163M-119%
Q2 2025-$344M-$98M
Q1 2025$168M-10%
Q4 2024-$235M+$450M

MOH's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $238M over the past year.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over MOH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 52M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+200K shares
1 year-1.9%-1M shares
3 years-11%-6.6M shares
5 years-12%-7M shares
Available history-20%-12.7M shares

MOH has the edge over UNH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has 902M diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $5B in buybacks over the past year.

MOH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -2.5xQ2 2026: -3.3xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -2.5xQ2 2026: -3.3xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

MOH has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

MOH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic55.8Neutral

MOH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

MOH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMOHSector medianRelative
PE1,152x26x4,356% above
PE %1002971 pts above

MOH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over MOH on valuation relative to its sector.

MOH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$202.23.8% above
20 week MA$205.72% above
50 week MA$183.714% above
100 week MA$216.02.9% below
200 week MA$271.623% below

MOH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 23% below its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over MOH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MOH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$136.1$207.1+52%
2021$207.1$316.7+53%
2022$316.7$335.1+5.8%
2023$335.1$361.3+7.8%
2024$361.3$292.2-19%
2025$292.2$164.8-44%
2026 YTD$164.8$209.9+27%

MOH has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key