MOH

Molina Healthcare, Inc.

58
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

MOH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR has the edge over MOH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

MOH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

MOH's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MOH PE Valuation

MOH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MOH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MOH, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over MOH on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MOH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$304.19
Downside-30%$147.23

Calculated from the latest close: $209.85 on Nov 12.

MOH trails OSCR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MOH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MOH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $18.77Q1 2024: $18.42Q2 2024: $18.24Q3 2024: $19.68Q4 2024: $20.42Q1 2025: $20.70Q2 2025: $20.28Q3 2025: $16.14Q4 2025: $8.92Q1 2026: $3.74Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $-0.60Forward: $8.35
Q4 2023: $18.77Q1 2024: $18.42Q2 2024: $18.24Q3 2024: $19.68Q4 2024: $20.42Q1 2025: $20.70Q2 2025: $20.28Q3 2025: $16.14Q4 2025: $8.92Q1 2026: $3.74Q2 2026: $0.18Q3 2026: $-0.60Forward: $8.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.35—
Q3 2026-$0.60-104%
Q2 2026$0.18-99%
Q1 2026$3.74-82%
Q4 2025$8.92-56%
Q3 2025$16.14-18%
Q2 2025$20.28+11%
Q1 2025$20.70+12%
Q4 2024$20.42+8.8%

MOH has swung to a loss: it lost $0.60 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over MOH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MOH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9BQ1 2024: $9.9BQ2 2024: $9.9BQ3 2024: $10.3BQ4 2024: $10.5BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $11.4BQ1 2026: $10.8BQ2 2026: $10.9BQ3 2026: $11.1B
Q4 2023: $9BQ1 2024: $9.9BQ2 2024: $9.9BQ3 2024: $10.3BQ4 2024: $10.5BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $11.4BQ1 2026: $10.8BQ2 2026: $10.9BQ3 2026: $11.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.1B-3.4%
Q2 2026$10.9B-4.8%
Q1 2026$10.8B-3.1%
Q4 2025$11.4B+8.3%
Q3 2025$11.5B+11%
Q2 2025$11.4B+16%
Q1 2025$11.1B+12%
Q4 2024$10.5B+16%

MOH's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $11.1B last quarter, down 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over MOH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$685MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: −$246MQ3 2024: $838MQ4 2024: −$235MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: −$344MQ3 2025: −$163MQ4 2025: −$297MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: −$324MQ3 2026: −$196M
Q4 2023: −$685MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: −$246MQ3 2024: $838MQ4 2024: −$235MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: −$344MQ3 2025: −$163MQ4 2025: −$297MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: −$324MQ3 2026: −$196M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$196M-$33M
Q2 2026-$324M+$20M
Q1 2026$1.1B+528%
Q4 2025-$297M-$62M
Q3 2025-$163M-119%
Q2 2025-$344M-$98M
Q1 2025$168M-10%
Q4 2024-$235M+$450M

MOH's free cash flow has turned positive after two years mostly in the red: $238M over the past year.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over MOH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MOH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 52M
Q4 2023: 58MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 54MQ3 2025: 53MQ4 2025: 53MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 52M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+200K shares
1 year-1.9%-1M shares
3 years-11%-6.6M shares
5 years-12%-7M shares
Available history-20%-12.7M shares

MOH has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

MOH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -2.5xQ2 2026: -3.3xQ3 2026: -2.1x
Q4 2023: -1.5xQ1 2024: -1.4xQ2 2024: -1.3xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -0.9xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: -0.6xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.5xQ1 2026: -2.5xQ2 2026: -3.3xQ3 2026: -2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.5xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.9xNet Cash

MOH has more cash than debt.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over MOH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MOH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic55.8Neutral

MOH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 56 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

MOH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMOHSector medianRelative
PE1,152x26x4,356% above
PE %1002971 pts above

MOH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR has the edge over MOH on valuation relative to its sector.

MOH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$202.23.8% above
20 week MA$205.72% above
50 week MA$183.714% above
100 week MA$216.02.9% below
200 week MA$271.623% below

MOH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 23% below its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over MOH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MOH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$136.1$207.1+52%
2021$207.1$316.7+53%
2022$316.7$335.1+5.8%
2023$335.1$361.3+7.8%
2024$361.3$292.2-19%
2025$292.2$164.8-44%
2026 YTD$164.8$209.9+27%

MOH has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 27% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over MOH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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