MOG-A

Moog Inc.

68
Fundamentals76/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

MOG-A has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

MOG-A Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

MOG-A's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MOG-A PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE75x150x226x301x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE75x150x226x301x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$191-44%
Fair26x$304-11%
Forward28x$343—
Current29x$343—
Expensive34x$398+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MOG-A's PE is 29x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MOG-A Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MOG-A, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

MOG-A Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$440.53
Downside-22%$268.18

Calculated from the latest close: $342.74 on Nov 12.

MOG-A trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MOG-A, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MOG-A Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $5.34Q4 2023: $5.38Q1 2024: $5.90Q2 2024: $6.32Q3 2024: $6.40Q4 2024: $6.56Q1 2025: $6.45Q2 2025: $6.58Q3 2025: $7.27Q1 2026: $8.09Q1 2026: $8.89Q2 2026: $11.76Forward: $12.43
Q3 2023: $5.34Q4 2023: $5.38Q1 2024: $5.90Q2 2024: $6.32Q3 2024: $6.40Q4 2024: $6.56Q1 2025: $6.45Q2 2025: $6.58Q3 2025: $7.27Q1 2026: $8.09Q1 2026: $8.89Q2 2026: $11.76Forward: $12.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.43+5.7%
Q2 2026$11.76+79%
Q1 2026$8.89+38%
Q4 2025$8.09+23%
Q3 2025$7.27+14%
Q2 2025$6.58+4.1%
Q1 2025$6.45+9.3%
Q4 2024$6.56+22%
Q3 2024$6.40+20%

MOG-A has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

MOG-A Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $872MQ4 2023: $857MQ1 2024: $930MQ2 2024: $905MQ3 2024: $917MQ4 2024: $910MQ1 2025: $935MQ2 2025: $971MQ3 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $872MQ4 2023: $857MQ1 2024: $930MQ2 2024: $905MQ3 2024: $917MQ4 2024: $910MQ1 2025: $935MQ2 2025: $971MQ3 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+15%
Q1 2026$1.1B+13%
Q4 2025$1.1B+21%
Q3 2025$1B+14%
Q2 2025$971.4M+7.4%
Q1 2025$934.8M+0.5%
Q4 2024$910.3M+6.2%
Q3 2024$917.3M+5.2%

MOG-A's revenue has grown year over year for 21 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 15% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

MOG-A Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $105MQ4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: −$84MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: −$165MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $199MQ1 2026: −$79MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $133M
Q3 2023: $105MQ4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: −$84MQ2 2024: −$2MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: −$165MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $199MQ1 2026: −$79MQ1 2026: $98MQ2 2026: $133M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$132.6M+43%
Q1 2026$97.8M+5279%
Q4 2025-$79.1M+$85.9M
Q3 2025$199M+82%
Q2 2025$92.7M+$94.6M
Q1 2025$1.8M+$85.9M
Q4 2024-$165.1M-818%
Q3 2024$109.4M+4.4%

MOG-A has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

MOG-A Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 32MQ2 2024: 32MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 32MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 32M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-26.6K shares
1 year+0.6%+179K shares
3 years0%+8.5K shares
5 years-0.9%-279K shares
Available history-8.8%-3.1M shares

MOG-A has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

MOG-A Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.2x
Q3 2023: 1.8xQ4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.5xQ2 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20261.2xHealthy
Q1 20261.5xHealthy
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate
Q3 20241.7xHealthy

MOG-A's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.0 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MOG-A Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.3Neutral
Stochastic20.5Neutral

MOG-A's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

MOG-A PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMOG-ASector medianRelative
PE29x24x20% above
PE %64586 pts above

MOG-A is trading at 29x earnings, a 20% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MOG-A Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$358.84.5% below
20 week MA$380.09.8% below
50 week MA$339.11.1% above
100 week MA$264.030% above
200 week MA$203.768% above

MOG-A has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

MOG-A Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.8$79.2-7.6%
2021$79.2$78.8-0.6%
2022$78.8$86.9+10%
2023$86.9$144.8+67%
2024$144.8$196.2+36%
2025$196.2$251.4+28%
2026 YTD$251.4$342.7+36%

MOG-A has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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