MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
MOD has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
MOD's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
MOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.3x | $22.39 | -79% |
| Forward | 14x | $106 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $55.73 | -47% |
| Expensive | 44x | $107 | +0.9% |
| Current | 44x | $106 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MOD has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
MOD has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.72 | +220% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.41 | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.68 | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.26 | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.80 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.46 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.49 | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.42 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.98 | -30% |
MOD has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.
MOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $994.4M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $874.1M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $954.4M | +47% |
| Q4 2025 | $805M | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $738.9M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $682.8M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $647.2M | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $616.8M | +9.9% |
MOD has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.6% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.6% | -1.4 points |
MOD has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
MOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$140.6M | -$110.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5M | -2600% |
| Q1 2026 | $152.8M | +464% |
| Q4 2025 | -$17.1M | -138% |
| Q3 2025 | -$30.5M | -170% |
| Q2 2025 | $200K | -99% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.1M | +$31.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $44.7M | -4.1% |
MOD's free cash flow was −$10M over the past year, against $42M the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA has the edge over MOD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
MOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +500K shares |
| 5 years | +2.5% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +5.5% | +2.8M shares |
MOD has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $64.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $200,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $600,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5M |
MOD spent $67M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 133% from the year before.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
MOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
MOD's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over MOD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 7.8 | Oversold |
MOD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
MOD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44x | 18x | 144% above |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
MOD has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
MOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $144.6 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $180.7 | 41% below |
| 50 week MA | $200.1 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $157.2 | 33% below |
| 200 week MA | $113.3 | 6.4% below |
MOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over MOD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.57 | $12.2 | +61% |
| 2021 | $12.2 | $9.96 | -18% |
| 2022 | $9.96 | $19.6 | +97% |
| 2023 | $19.6 | $59.7 | +204% |
| 2024 | $59.7 | $118.7 | +99% |
| 2025 | $118.7 | $137.7 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $137.7 | $106.1 | -23% |
MOD has finished higher in five of the last six years, four of them by more than 50%. It's down 23% so far in 2026.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA has the edge over MOD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.