MOD
Modine Manufacturing Company
MOD has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
MOD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
MOD's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MOD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.3x | $22.39 | -79% |
| Forward | 14x | $106 | — |
| Fair | 23x | $55.73 | -47% |
| Expensive | 44x | $107 | +0.9% |
| Current | 44x | $106 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MOD's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MOD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MOD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MOD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $7.72 | +220% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.41 | -30% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.68 | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.26 | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.80 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.46 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.49 | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.42 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.98 | -30% |
MOD has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
MOD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $994.4M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $874.1M | +28% |
| Q1 2026 | $954.4M | +47% |
| Q4 2025 | $805M | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $738.9M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $682.8M | +3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $647.2M | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $616.8M | +9.9% |
MOD has the edge over RIVN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.6% | -2.5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 11% | -0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 12% | +3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 9.6% | -1.4 points |
MOD has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
MOD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$140.6M | -$110.1M |
| Q2 2026 | -$5M | -2600% |
| Q1 2026 | $152.8M | +464% |
| Q4 2025 | -$17.1M | -138% |
| Q3 2025 | -$30.5M | -170% |
| Q2 2025 | $200K | -99% |
| Q1 2025 | $27.1M | +$31.4M |
| Q4 2024 | $44.7M | -4.1% |
MOD's free cash flow was −$10M over the past year, against $42M the year before.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has the edge over MOD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MOD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | +0.2% | +100K shares |
| 3 years | +0.9% | +500K shares |
| 5 years | +2.5% | +1.3M shares |
| Available history | +5.5% | +2.8M shares |
MOD has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $64.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $200,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $600,000 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $18.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.5M |
MOD spent $67M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 133% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MOD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.9x | Very low |
MOD's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MOD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 7.8 | Oversold |
MOD's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MOD PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MOD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 44x | 18x | 144% above |
| PE % | 82 | 47 | 35 pts above |
MOD is trading at 44x earnings, a 144% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MOD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $144.6 | 27% below |
| 20 week MA | $180.7 | 41% below |
| 50 week MA | $200.1 | 47% below |
| 100 week MA | $157.2 | 33% below |
| 200 week MA | $113.3 | 6.4% below |
MOD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 6.4% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
MOD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.57 | $12.2 | +61% |
| 2021 | $12.2 | $9.96 | -18% |
| 2022 | $9.96 | $19.6 | +97% |
| 2023 | $19.6 | $59.7 | +204% |
| 2024 | $59.7 | $118.7 | +99% |
| 2025 | $118.7 | $137.7 | +16% |
| 2026 YTD | $137.7 | $106.1 | -23% |
MOD has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.