MNTK

Montauk Renewables, Inc.

60
Fundamentals38/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

MNTK's fundamentals are weak, but it looks cheap: trading at 21x earnings, about half its usual 45x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

MNTK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Weak
Weak

MNTK's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

MNTK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x198x264x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x132x198x264x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward7.5x$1.03—
Current21x$1.03—
Cheap31x$1.56+52%
Fair45x$2.24+117%
Expensive89x$4.43+330%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MNTK's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.5x next year's earnings.

MNTK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MNTK, with profitability improving.

MNTK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$1.78
Downside-34%$0.68

Calculated from the latest close: $1.03 on Nov 12.

MNTK's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +73% against −34%.

MNTK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.11Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.13Q3 2024: $0.16Q4 2024: $0.07Q1 2025: $0.06Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $0.01Q1 2026: $0.01Q2 2026: $0.05Forward: $0.14
Q3 2023: $0.12Q4 2023: $0.11Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.13Q3 2024: $0.16Q4 2024: $0.07Q1 2025: $0.06Q2 2025: $0.03Q3 2025: $-0.05Q4 2025: $0.01Q1 2026: $0.01Q2 2026: $0.05Forward: $0.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.14+173%
Q2 2026$0.05+67%
Q1 2026$0.01-83%
Q4 2025$0.01-86%
Q3 2025-$0.05-131%
Q2 2025$0.03-77%
Q1 2025$0.06-60%
Q4 2024$0.07-36%
Q3 2024$0.16+33%

MNTK's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.05 over the past year, against $0.25 in late 2022.

MNTK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $56MQ4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $39MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $54M
Q3 2023: $56MQ4 2023: $47MQ1 2024: $39MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $66MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: $45MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $46MQ2 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$54M+20%
Q1 2026$46.4M+9%
Q4 2025$43.4M+57%
Q3 2025$45.3M-31%
Q2 2025$45.1M+4.1%
Q1 2025$42.6M+9.8%
Q4 2024$27.7M-41%
Q3 2024$65.9M+18%

MNTK's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $54M last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

MNTK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$25MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: −$41MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$10M
Q3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: −$19MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: −$8MQ1 2025: −$2MQ2 2025: −$25MQ3 2025: −$17MQ4 2025: −$41MQ1 2026: −$15MQ2 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$10.1M+$15.4M
Q1 2026-$15M-$12.5M
Q4 2025-$41.1M-$32.8M
Q3 2025-$17.2M-207%
Q2 2025-$25.5M-$6.9M
Q1 2025-$2.5M+$5.2M
Q4 2024-$8.3M-319%
Q3 2024$16M+$18.3M

MNTK has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$83M over the past year, against −$20M the year before.

MNTK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 142MQ4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 142MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 143MQ4 2025: 143MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 144M
Q3 2023: 142MQ4 2023: 142MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 142MQ3 2024: 143MQ4 2024: 142MQ1 2025: 143MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 143MQ4 2025: 143MQ1 2026: 143MQ2 2026: 144M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+674K shares
1 year+0.6%+897K shares
3 years+1.3%+1.9M shares
5 years+2.1%+2.9M shares
Available history+2.1%+2.9M shares

MNTK has 144M diluted shares, up 0.6% from a year ago.

MNTK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9x
Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.4xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20252.9xModerate
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low

MNTK's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago.

MNTK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI38.3Neutral
Stochastic34.7Neutral

MNTK's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

MNTK PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricMNTKSector medianRelative
PE21x20x0.9% above
PE %14847 pts below

MNTK is trading at 21x earnings, in line with the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

MNTK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.3256% below
20 week MA$2.0750% below
50 week MA$1.7541% below
100 week MA$2.1652% below
200 week MA$4.5677% below

MNTK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 77% below its 200-week average.

MNTK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$11.7$10.3-12%
2022$10.3$11.2+8.6%
2023$11.2$8.91-20%
2024$8.91$3.93-56%
2025$3.93$1.84-53%
2026 YTD$1.84$1.03-44%

MNTK has finished three years in a row lower, and it's down 44% so far in 2026.

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