MNR

Mach Natural Resources LP

46
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation44/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MNR's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 37%, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 18%. At 10x earnings, it's trading below its usual 12x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady, though they disagree widely on how much.

MNR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Unavailable
Healthy

MNR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow.

MNR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.0x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward6.2x$9.02—
Cheap7.2x$6.45-29%
Current10x$9.02—
Fair12x$10.52+17%
Expensive18x$16.57+84%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MNR's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 6.2x, in its cheap range.

MNR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MNR's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MNR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$11.31
Downside-21%$7.17

Calculated from the latest close: $9.02 on Nov 12.

MNR's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +25% against −21%.

MNR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $1.94Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $0.74Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.45
Q4 2024: $1.90Q1 2025: $1.60Q2 2025: $1.94Q3 2025: $0.96Q4 2025: $1.09Q1 2026: $0.74Q2 2026: $0.56Q3 2026: $0.90Forward: $1.45
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.45+61%
Q3 2026$0.90-6.2%
Q2 2026$0.56-71%
Q1 2026$0.74-54%
Q4 2025$1.09-43%

MNR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.90 over the past year, against $6.72 in late 2022.

MNR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $228MQ1 2024: $239MQ2 2024: $240MQ3 2024: $256MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $227MQ2 2025: $289MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $388MQ1 2026: $286MQ2 2026: $406MQ3 2026: $319M
Q4 2023: $228MQ1 2024: $239MQ2 2024: $240MQ3 2024: $256MQ4 2024: $235MQ1 2025: $227MQ2 2025: $289MQ3 2025: $273MQ4 2025: $388MQ1 2026: $286MQ2 2026: $406MQ3 2026: $319M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$319.2M+17%
Q2 2026$406M+41%
Q1 2026$285.9M+26%
Q4 2025$387.5M+65%
Q3 2025$272.6M+6.7%
Q2 2025$288.5M+20%
Q1 2025$226.8M-5.2%
Q4 2024$234.9M+3.1%

MNR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $319M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

MNR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $140MQ2 2024: $114MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $130MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $149MQ3 2026: $130M
Q4 2023: $106MQ1 2024: $140MQ2 2024: $114MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $141MQ2 2025: $130MQ3 2025: $106MQ4 2025: --Q1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $149MQ3 2026: $130M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$130.4M+24%
Q2 2026$148.8M+14%
Q1 2026$165.6M+17%
Q3 2025$105.5M-2.9%
Q2 2025$130.1M+14%
Q1 2025$141.4M+1.3%
Q4 2024$131.9M+24%
Q2 2024$114.1M+394%

MNR's free cash flow has been positive every quarter since late 2022: $550M over the past year, up 7.4% from the year before.

MNR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 168M
Q4 2023: 95MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 95MQ3 2024: 97MQ4 2024: 98MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 118MQ3 2025: 126MQ1 2026: 168MQ2 2026: 168MQ3 2026: 168M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+119K shares
1 year+42%+49.8M shares
3 years+77%+73.1M shares

MNR has 168M diluted shares, up 42% from a year ago.

MNR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.4xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.0xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 2.3xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.1xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.1xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.3xModerate
Q2 20251.0xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

MNR's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.3 years a year ago.

MNR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.6Oversold
Stochastic5.3Oversold

MNR's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

MNR PE vs Energy Sector

MetricMNRSector medianRelative
PE10x13x24% below
PE %435512 pts below

MNR is trading at 10x earnings, a 24% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

MNR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.312% below
20 week MA$11.823% below
50 week MA$12.427% below
100 week MA$13.432% below

MNR is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 100-week average.

MNR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$18.8$16.5-12%
2024$16.5$16.5-0.2%
2025$16.5$11.2-32%
2026 YTD$11.2$9.02-19%

MNR has finished every year since 2023 lower, and it's down 19% so far in 2026.

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