MNKD

MannKind Corporation

51
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

MNKD has the edge over NVO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

NVO

Novo Nordisk A/S

48
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

NVO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MNKD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Weak

MNKD's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

NVO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

NVO's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

MNKD PE Valuation

MNKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 178x next year's earnings.

NVO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x56x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$40.65—
Cheap14x$53.56+32%
Fair27x$103+154%
Expensive39x$152+273%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVO's PE is 10x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

MNKD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

MNKD has the edge over NVO on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

NVO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect NVO's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MNKD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+73%$7.20
Downside-42%$2.42

Calculated from the latest close: $4.16 on Nov 12.

MNKD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NVO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NVO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$55.48
Downside-26%$29.89

Calculated from the latest close: $40.65 on Nov 12.

NVO trails MNKD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MNKD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.04Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.10Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $-0.23Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.04Q1 2024: $0.04Q2 2024: $0.05Q3 2024: $0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.10Q4 2025: $0.02Q1 2026: $-0.07Q2 2026: $-0.13Q3 2026: $-0.23Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.23-330%
Q2 2026-$0.13-218%
Q1 2026-$0.07-170%
Q4 2025$0.02-80%
Q3 2025$0.10+25%
Q2 2025$0.11+120%
Q1 2025$0.10+150%
Q4 2024$0.10+$0.14

MNKD has swung to a loss: it lost $0.23 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

NVO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
Q3 2023: $2.48Q4 2023: $2.77Q1 2024: $2.96Q2 2024: $2.98Q3 2024: $3.15Q4 2024: $3.36Q1 2025: $3.49Q2 2025: $3.71Q3 2025: $3.47Q4 2025: $3.42Q1 2026: $4.07Q2 2026: $3.89
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.89+4.9%
Q1 2026$4.07+17%
Q4 2025$3.42+1.8%
Q3 2025$3.47+10%
Q2 2025$3.71+24%
Q1 2025$3.49+18%
Q4 2024$3.36+21%
Q3 2024$3.15+27%

NVO has the edge over MNKD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

MNKD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $77MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $112MQ1 2026: $90MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $102M
Q4 2023: $58MQ1 2024: $66MQ2 2024: $72MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $77MQ1 2025: $78MQ2 2025: $77MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $112MQ1 2026: $90MQ2 2026: $109MQ3 2026: $102M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$101.9M+24%
Q2 2026$109.4M+43%
Q1 2026$90.2M+15%
Q4 2025$112M+46%
Q3 2025$82.1M+17%
Q2 2025$76.5M+5.7%
Q1 2025$78.4M+18%
Q4 2024$76.8M+31%

MNKD has the edge over NVO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NVO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
Q3 2023: $8.7BQ4 2023: $9.8BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.1BQ3 2024: $10.6BQ4 2024: $12.7BQ1 2025: $11.6BQ2 2025: $11.4BQ3 2025: $11.1BQ4 2025: $11.8BQ1 2026: $14.4BQ2 2026: $11.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$11.7B+2.1%
Q1 2026$14.4B+24%
Q4 2025$11.8B-7.6%
Q3 2025$11.1B+5.1%
Q2 2025$11.4B+13%
Q1 2025$11.6B+19%
Q4 2024$12.7B+30%
Q3 2024$10.6B+21%

NVO's revenue is growing: $11.7B last quarter, up 2.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

MNKD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $861,000Q3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$23MQ3 2026: −$38M
Q4 2023: $16MQ1 2024: $4MQ2 2024: $861,000Q3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $20MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $23MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: −$7MQ2 2026: −$23MQ3 2026: −$38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$37.8M-268%
Q2 2026-$23.5M-399%
Q1 2026-$7.2M-$538K
Q4 2025-$10M-150%
Q3 2025$22.5M+184%
Q2 2025$7.8M+810%
Q1 2025-$6.7M-256%
Q4 2024$19.7M+25%

MNKD has burned cash in most quarters: −$78M over the past year, against $43M the year before.

NVO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
Q3 2023: $4.5BQ4 2023: −$1BQ1 2024: $788MQ2 2024: $5.5BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: −$633MQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $4.6BQ4 2025: −$5.4BQ1 2026: $1.8BQ2 2026: $6.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$6.3B+73%
Q1 2026$1.8B+20%
Q4 2025-$5.4B-$4.7B
Q3 2025$4.6B-2.1%
Q2 2025$3.6B-34%
Q1 2025$1.5B+89%
Q4 2024-$632.6M+$390.5M
Q3 2024$4.7B+3.3%

NVO has the edge over MNKD on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MNKD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 267MQ1 2024: 325MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 285MQ4 2024: 284MQ1 2025: 321MQ2 2025: 311MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 314MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 309MQ3 2026: 320M
Q4 2023: 267MQ1 2024: 325MQ2 2024: 273MQ3 2024: 285MQ4 2024: 284MQ1 2025: 321MQ2 2025: 311MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 314MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 309MQ3 2026: 320M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+11M shares
1 year+2.7%+8.5M shares
3 years-1.1%-3.6M shares
5 years+28%+70.3M shares
Available history+55%+113M shares

MNKD has 320M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

NVO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
Q3 2023: 4.5BQ4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.5BQ2 2024: 4.5BQ3 2024: 4.5BQ4 2024: 4.5BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.4BQ3 2025: 4.4BQ4 2025: 4.4BQ1 2026: 4.4BQ2 2026: 4.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-12.9M shares
1 year-0.2%-11M shares
3 years-1.5%-66.8M shares
5 years-3.8%-177M shares
Available history-6.5%-311M shares

NVO has the edge over MNKD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MNKD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 8.9xQ3 2026: 19.7x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.1xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: 5.5xQ1 2026: 8.5xQ2 2026: 8.9xQ3 2026: 19.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202619.7xHigh
Q2 20268.9xHigh
Q1 20268.5xHigh
Q4 20255.5xHigh
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

MNKD's net debt is about 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

NVO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
Q3 2023: -0.0xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low
Q3 2024-0.0xVery low

NVO has the edge over MNKD on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MNKD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.4Neutral
Stochastic63.7Neutral

MNKD's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 64 (neutral).

NVO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic27.0Neutral

NVO's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

MNKD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricMNKDSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

MNKD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVO PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricNVOSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %62923 pts below

NVO is trading at 10x earnings, a 60% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

MNKD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.5318% above
20 week MA$3.828.9% above
50 week MA$4.004% above
100 week MA$4.487.1% below
200 week MA$4.6210% below

MNKD has the edge over NVO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.23.7% above
20 week MA$43.97.4% below
50 week MA$45.310% below
100 week MA$56.328% below
200 week MA$80.750% below

NVO has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 50% below its 200-week average.

MNKD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$1.37$3.42+150%
2021$3.42$4.46+30%
2022$4.46$5.09+14%
2023$5.09$3.64-28%
2024$3.64$6.82+87%
2025$6.82$5.79-15%
2026 YTD$5.79$4.16-28%

MNKD has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

NVO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.1$34.7+19%
2021$34.7$54.2+56%
2022$54.2$67.0+24%
2023$67.0$103.5+54%
2024$103.5$87.4-16%
2025$87.4$52.4-40%
2026 YTD$52.4$40.7-22%

NVO has the edge over MNKD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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