MLR
Miller Industries, Inc.
MLR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over MLR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MLR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
MLR's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
MLR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.6x | $14.45 | -70% |
| Fair | 14x | $20.88 | -57% |
| Forward | 17x | $48.71 | — |
| Expensive | 21x | $31.75 | -35% |
| Current | 32x | $48.71 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MLR's PE is in its expensive range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over MLR in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MLR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
MLR has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MLR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.85 | +90% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.50 | -42% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.24 | -66% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.34 | -71% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.98 | -64% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.58 | -57% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.64 | -41% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.69 | -18% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.47 | +7.9% |
MLR's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.50 over the past year, against $6.22 in mid-2024.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over MLR on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
MLR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $212.2M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $240M | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $180.9M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $171.9M | -23% |
| Q3 2025 | $178.7M | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $214M | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $225.7M | -36% |
| Q4 2024 | $221.9M | -25% |
MLR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $212M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.5% | +1.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.2% | -1.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.9% | -3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4% | -3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.3% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4.8% | -1.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 5.7% | -1.4 points |
MLR's operating margin was 3.5% last quarter, up 1.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE has the edge over MLR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over MLR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MLR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $13.7M | -25% |
| Q2 2026 | $28M | +9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.8M | +$25.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.8M | +$56.7M |
| Q3 2025 | $18.1M | -25% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6M | +$39.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.4M | -156% |
| Q4 2024 | -$13M | -396% |
MLR has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
MLR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -36.5K shares |
| 1 year | -0.9% | -110K shares |
| 3 years | -0.3% | -30K shares |
| 5 years | +0.6% | +74K shares |
| Available history | +0.7% | +85K shares |
MLR has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $2.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $2.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $2.2M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $500,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.1M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
MLR spent $10M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 155% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
MLR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
MLR has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MLR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 44.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.2 | Neutral |
MLR's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
MLR PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | MLR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32x | 18x | 80% above |
| PE % | 93 | 47 | 46 pts above |
MLR is trading at 32x earnings, a 80% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over MLR on valuation relative to its sector.
MLR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $51.2 | 4.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $52.5 | 7.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $47.6 | 2.4% above |
| 100 week MA | $47.3 | 3% above |
| 200 week MA | $46.8 | 4.2% above |
MLR has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
MLR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $37.2 | $36.8 | -1% |
| 2021 | $36.8 | $32.5 | -12% |
| 2022 | $32.5 | $26.4 | -19% |
| 2023 | $26.4 | $42.3 | +60% |
| 2024 | $42.3 | $65.7 | +55% |
| 2025 | $65.7 | $38.2 | -42% |
| 2026 YTD | $38.2 | $48.7 | +28% |
MLR has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.