MLI
Mueller Industries, Inc.
MLI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co
VRT has the edge over MLI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MLI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MLI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
VRT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
MLI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.4x | $25.12 | -54% |
| Forward | 12x | $54.84 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $52.03 | -5.1% |
| Current | 14x | $54.84 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $63.33 | +15% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MLI's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
VRT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 23x | $210 | — |
| Current | 39x | $210 | — |
| Cheap | 58x | $308 | +47% |
| Fair | 72x | $383 | +83% |
| Expensive | 88x | $472 | +125% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
VRT has the edge over MLI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MLI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MLI, but weaker profitability.
VRT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
VRT has the edge over MLI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MLI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.41 | +13% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.90 | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.83 | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.82 | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.43 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.35 | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.15 | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.75 | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.65 | -0.4% |
MLI earned $3.90 per share over the past year, up 16% from the year before.
VRT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $9.14 | +71% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.35 | +102% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.42 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.98 | +131% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.41 | +166% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.65 | +75% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.09 | +62% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.72 | +64% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
VRT has the edge over MLI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MLI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $962.4M | +4.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +8% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $923.5M | +26% |
MLI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -5.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | -5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +4.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 27% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | 0 points |
MLI's operating margin was 20% last quarter, down 5.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VRT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.3B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.3B | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.9B | +23% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.7B | +29% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $2B | +24% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +26% |
VRT has the edge over MLI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +3.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 19% | +2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 17% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | +0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 19% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 14% | +1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +4.2 points |
VRT has the edge over MLI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MLI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $315M | +8% |
| Q2 2026 | $190.7M | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $62.5M | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $121.4M | +9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $291.8M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $176.5M | +93% |
| Q1 2025 | $97M | -38% |
| Q4 2024 | $111.2M | -30% |
MLI generated $690M in free cash flow over the past year, up 1.9% from the year before.
VRT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $654.9M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $926.5M | +233% |
| Q1 2026 | $654.2M | +145% |
| Q4 2025 | $885.6M | +143% |
| Q3 2025 | $463.5M | +36% |
| Q2 2025 | $277.9M | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $266.8M | +162% |
| Q4 2024 | $364.5M | +18% |
VRT has the edge over MLI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MLI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -1.7M shares |
| 3 years | -3.3% | -7.6M shares |
| 5 years | -3.1% | -7.1M shares |
| Available history | -2.3% | -5.3M shares |
MLI has the edge over VRT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $243.6M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
MLI spent $278M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 14% from the year before.
VRT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -64.9K shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +1.1% | +4.4M shares |
| 5 years | +10% | +36M shares |
| Available history | +63% | +152M shares |
VRT has 393M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | $599.9M |
MLI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
MLI has the edge over VRT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
VRT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.7x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 1.0x | Healthy |
VRT has more cash than debt.
MLI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.9 | Oversold |
MLI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
VRT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.4 | Neutral |
VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
MLI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | MLI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 24x | 41% below |
| PE % | 56 | 58 | 2 pts below |
MLI has the edge over VRT on valuation relative to its sector.
VRT PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VRT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 24x | 63% above |
| PE % | 3 | 58 | 55 pts below |
VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
MLI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $57.5 | 4.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $60.4 | 9.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $61.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.2 | 5.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $38.8 | 41% above |
MLI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 41% above its 200-week average.
VRT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $221.8 | 5.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $254.4 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $253.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $189.1 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $123.5 | 70% above |
VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.
MLI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.94 | $8.73 | +9.9% |
| 2021 | $8.73 | $14.6 | +68% |
| 2022 | $14.6 | $14.9 | +2% |
| 2023 | $14.9 | $23.6 | +58% |
| 2024 | $23.6 | $40.0 | +70% |
| 2025 | $40.0 | $59.1 | +48% |
| 2026 YTD | $59.1 | $54.8 | -7.2% |
MLI has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 7.2% so far in 2026.
VRT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.9 | $18.9 | +73% |
| 2021 | $18.9 | $24.9 | +31% |
| 2022 | $24.9 | $12.8 | -48% |
| 2023 | $12.8 | $48.0 | +275% |
| 2024 | $48.0 | $115.1 | +140% |
| 2025 | $115.1 | $167.6 | +46% |
| 2026 YTD | $167.6 | $209.6 | +25% |
VRT has the edge over MLI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.