MLI
Mueller Industries, Inc.
MLI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over MLI overall, supported by stronger valuation.
MLI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MLI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
MLI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.4x | $25.12 | -54% |
| Forward | 12x | $54.84 | — |
| Fair | 13x | $52.03 | -5.1% |
| Current | 14x | $54.84 | — |
| Expensive | 16x | $63.33 | +15% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MLI's PE is in its fair range at 14x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MLI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MLI, but weaker profitability.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over MLI on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MLI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $4.41 | +13% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.90 | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.83 | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.82 | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.43 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.35 | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.15 | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.75 | +10% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.65 | -0.4% |
MLI has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
MLI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +25% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $962.4M | +4.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +8% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $1B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $923.5M | +26% |
MLI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -5.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | -5 points |
| Q1 2026 | 26% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | -0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +4.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 27% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 21% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | 0 points |
MLI has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MLI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $315M | +8% |
| Q2 2026 | $190.7M | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $62.5M | -36% |
| Q4 2025 | $121.4M | +9.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $291.8M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $176.5M | +93% |
| Q1 2025 | $97M | -38% |
| Q4 2024 | $111.2M | -30% |
MLI has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
MLI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -1.1M shares |
| 1 year | -0.8% | -1.7M shares |
| 3 years | -3.3% | -7.6M shares |
| 5 years | -3.1% | -7.1M shares |
| Available history | -2.3% | -5.3M shares |
MLI has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $201.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $243.6M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
MLI spent $278M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 14% from the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
MLI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
MLI has more cash than debt.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
MLI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.9 | Oversold |
MLI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
MLI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | MLI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 14x | 24x | 42% below |
| PE % | 56 | 58 | 2 pts below |
MLI is trading at 14x earnings, a 42% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MLI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $57.5 | 4.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $60.4 | 9.2% below |
| 50 week MA | $61.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $52.2 | 5.1% above |
| 200 week MA | $38.8 | 41% above |
MLI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
MLI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.94 | $8.73 | +9.9% |
| 2021 | $8.73 | $14.6 | +68% |
| 2022 | $14.6 | $14.9 | +2% |
| 2023 | $14.9 | $23.6 | +58% |
| 2024 | $23.6 | $40.0 | +70% |
| 2025 | $40.0 | $59.1 | +48% |
| 2026 YTD | $59.1 | $54.8 | -7.2% |
MLI has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 7.2% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over MLI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.