MLCO

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

MLCO has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MLCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Weak

MLCO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

MLCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7x$4.18—
Cheap9.5x$5.68+36%
Fair30x$17.78+325%
Expensive50x$30.05+619%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MLCO's PE is in its cheap range at 7.0x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MLCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect MLCO's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over MLCO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

MLCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$6.52
Downside-19%$3.40

Calculated from the latest close: $4.18 on Nov 12.

MLCO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails MLCO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MLCO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.98Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.37Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.46Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.60
Q3 2023: $-0.98Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.37Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.46Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.60+362%
Q1 2026$0.58+314%
Q4 2025$0.46+360%
Q3 2025$0.26+$0.53
Q2 2025$0.13+$0.50
Q1 2025$0.14+$0.62
Q4 2024$0.10+$0.84
Q3 2024-$0.27+$0.71

MLCO has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

MLCO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.3B
Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.3B-5.6%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B+8.6%
Q3 2025$1.3B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+15%
Q1 2025$1.2B+11%
Q4 2024$1.2B+8.9%
Q3 2024$1.2B+16%

MLCO's revenue is growing: $1.3B last quarter, down 5.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over MLCO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MLCO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

MLCO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has the edge over MLCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MLCO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 437MQ4 2023: 437MQ1 2024: 440MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 420MQ1 2025: 418MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 395MQ4 2025: 395MQ1 2026: 393MQ2 2026: 389M
Q3 2023: 437MQ4 2023: 437MQ1 2024: 440MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 420MQ1 2025: 418MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 395MQ4 2025: 395MQ1 2026: 393MQ2 2026: 389M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-4.8M shares
1 year-6.9%-29M shares
3 years-11%-48.1M shares
5 years-19%-90.6M shares
Available history-19%-92.4M shares

MLCO has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

MLCO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 13.6xQ4 2023: 10.4xQ1 2024: 8.5xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 7.5xQ4 2024: 6.3xQ1 2025: 6.2xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 5.4x
Q3 2023: 13.6xQ4 2023: 10.4xQ1 2024: 8.5xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 7.5xQ4 2024: 6.3xQ1 2025: 6.2xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.4xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20256.1xHigh
Q1 20256.2xHigh
Q4 20246.3xHigh
Q3 20247.5xHigh

MLCO's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

MLCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic25.9Neutral

MLCO's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

MLCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMLCOSector medianRelative
PE7x18x61% below
PE %24745 pts below

MLCO is trading at 7.0x earnings, a 61% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MLCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.210.7% below
20 week MA$4.9015% below
50 week MA$5.6426% below
100 week MA$6.3834% below
200 week MA$7.7446% below

MLCO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

MLCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.4$18.6-24%
2021$18.6$10.4-44%
2022$10.4$11.2+7%
2023$11.2$8.87-21%
2024$8.87$5.88-34%
2025$5.88$8.01+36%
2026 YTD$8.01$4.18-48%

MLCO has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over MLCO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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