MLCO

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

MLCO has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MLCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Stable
Weak

MLCO's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

MLCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x39x58x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current7x$4.18—
Cheap9.5x$5.68+36%
Fair30x$17.78+325%
Expensive50x$30.05+619%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MLCO's PE is in its cheap range at 7.0x.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over MLCO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MLCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

MLCO has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MLCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$6.52
Downside-19%$3.40

Calculated from the latest close: $4.18 on Nov 12.

MLCO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails MLCO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MLCO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.98Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.37Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.46Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.60
Q3 2023: $-0.98Q4 2023: $-0.74Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.37Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.14Q2 2025: $0.13Q3 2025: $0.26Q4 2025: $0.46Q1 2026: $0.58Q2 2026: $0.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.60+362%
Q1 2026$0.58+314%
Q4 2025$0.46+360%
Q3 2025$0.26+$0.53
Q2 2025$0.13+$0.50
Q1 2025$0.14+$0.62
Q4 2024$0.10+$0.84
Q3 2024-$0.27+$0.71

MLCO has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

MLCO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.3B
Q3 2023: $1BQ4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.3B-5.6%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B+8.6%
Q3 2025$1.3B+11%
Q2 2025$1.3B+15%
Q1 2025$1.2B+11%
Q4 2024$1.2B+8.9%
Q3 2024$1.2B+16%

MLCO has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MLCO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0

MLCO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE has the edge over MLCO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MLCO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 437MQ4 2023: 437MQ1 2024: 440MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 420MQ1 2025: 418MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 395MQ4 2025: 395MQ1 2026: 393MQ2 2026: 389M
Q3 2023: 437MQ4 2023: 437MQ1 2024: 440MQ2 2024: 441MQ3 2024: 432MQ4 2024: 420MQ1 2025: 418MQ2 2025: 418MQ3 2025: 395MQ4 2025: 395MQ1 2026: 393MQ2 2026: 389M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-4.8M shares
1 year-6.9%-29M shares
3 years-11%-48.1M shares
5 years-19%-90.6M shares
Available history-19%-92.4M shares

MLCO has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MLCO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 13.6xQ4 2023: 10.4xQ1 2024: 8.5xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 7.5xQ4 2024: 6.3xQ1 2025: 6.2xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 5.4x
Q3 2023: 13.6xQ4 2023: 10.4xQ1 2024: 8.5xQ2 2024: 7.8xQ3 2024: 7.5xQ4 2024: 6.3xQ1 2025: 6.2xQ2 2025: 6.1xQ3 2025: 5.7xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.0xQ2 2026: 5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.4xHigh
Q1 20265.0xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.7xHigh
Q2 20256.1xHigh
Q1 20256.2xHigh
Q4 20246.3xHigh
Q3 20247.5xHigh

MLCO's net debt is about 5.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over MLCO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MLCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic25.9Neutral

MLCO's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

MLCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMLCOSector medianRelative
PE7x18x61% below
PE %24745 pts below

MLCO has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MLCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.210.7% below
20 week MA$4.9015% below
50 week MA$5.6426% below
100 week MA$6.3834% below
200 week MA$7.7446% below

MLCO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% below its 200-week average.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has the edge over MLCO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MLCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.4$18.6-24%
2021$18.6$10.4-44%
2022$10.4$11.2+7%
2023$11.2$8.87-21%
2024$8.87$5.88-34%
2025$5.88$8.01+36%
2026 YTD$8.01$4.18-48%

MLCO has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 48% so far in 2026.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has the edge over MLCO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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