MKTW

MarketWise, Inc.

43
Fundamentals33/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential35/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

MKTW's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over MKTW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

MKTW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Strong
Strong

MKTW's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MKTW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x124x186x248x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x124x186x248x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.2x$3.56-84%
Fair6.6x$5.62-75%
Forward8.7x$22.30—
Current26x$22.30—
Expensive28x$23.38+4.9%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKTW's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over MKTW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MKTW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

MKTW has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

MKTW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$27.68
Downside-45%$12.33

Calculated from the latest close: $22.30 on Nov 12.

MKTW trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MKTW, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MKTW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.00Q1 2024: $0.80Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $2.40Q4 2024: $3.60Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $2.94Q3 2025: $2.72Q4 2025: $2.31Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $0.90Q3 2026: $0.85Forward: $2.56
Q4 2023: $1.00Q1 2024: $0.80Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $2.40Q4 2024: $3.60Q1 2025: $3.21Q2 2025: $2.94Q3 2025: $2.72Q4 2025: $2.31Q1 2026: $1.67Q2 2026: $0.90Q3 2026: $0.85Forward: $2.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.56+201%
Q3 2026$0.85-69%
Q2 2026$0.90-69%
Q1 2026$1.67-48%
Q4 2025$2.31-36%
Q3 2025$2.72+13%
Q2 2025$2.94+84%
Q1 2025$3.21+301%
Q4 2024$3.60+260%

MKTW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.85 over the past year, against $16.54 in late 2022.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over MKTW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $97MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $109MQ2 2024: $105MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $97MQ1 2025: $84MQ2 2025: $80MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $83MQ1 2026: $77MQ2 2026: $76MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$80.1M-1.5%
Q2 2026$75.8M-5.2%
Q1 2026$77M-7.8%
Q4 2025$83.4M-14%
Q3 2025$81.3M-16%
Q2 2025$80M-24%
Q1 2025$83.5M-23%
Q4 2024$97.5M-13%

MKTW's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $80M last quarter, down 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over MKTW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $2MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.4M+289%
Q2 2026$22.3M+26%
Q1 2026-$2.5M-251%
Q4 2025$24M+307%
Q3 2025$2.2M+$8M
Q2 2025$17.7M+$21.5M
Q1 2025$1.7M+$20.2M
Q4 2024$5.9M-66%

MKTW still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $52M over the past year.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over MKTW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MKTW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 2MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
Q4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 2MQ2 2025: 2MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 2MQ1 2026: 2MQ2 2026: 3MQ3 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+11%+292K shares
1 year+13%+337K shares
3 years+75%+1.3M shares
5 years+55%+1M shares

MKTW has 3M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago, despite $2M in buybacks over the past year.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over MKTW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MKTW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.8xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -2.8xQ1 2024: -2.8xQ2 2024: -1.9xQ3 2024: -1.4xQ4 2024: -1.1xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -0.7xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -1.2xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.1xNet Cash

MKTW has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

MKTW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.2Neutral
Stochastic68.7Neutral

MKTW's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

MKTW PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMKTWSector medianRelative
PE26x28x5.8% below
PE %823844 pts above

MKTW is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over MKTW on valuation relative to its sector.

MKTW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.011% above
20 week MA$19.514% above
50 week MA$17.627% above
100 week MA$16.337% above
200 week MA$24.810% below

MKTW has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

MKTW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$201.0$210.0+4.5%
2021$210.0$146.0-30%
2022$146.0$32.4-78%
2023$32.4$54.6+69%
2024$54.6$9.82-82%
2025$9.82$14.2+45%
2026 YTD$14.2$22.3+57%

MKTW has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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