MKTW
MarketWise, Inc.
MKTW's outlook is improving despite an expensive valuation.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over MKTW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MKTW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
MKTW's cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue and profitability are stable.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MKTW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 4.2x | $3.56 | -84% |
| Fair | 6.6x | $5.62 | -75% |
| Forward | 8.7x | $22.30 | — |
| Current | 26x | $22.30 | — |
| Expensive | 28x | $23.38 | +4.9% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MKTW's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over MKTW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MKTW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
MKTW has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
MKTW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.56 | +201% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.85 | -69% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.90 | -69% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.67 | -48% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.31 | -36% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.72 | +13% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.94 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.21 | +301% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.60 | +260% |
MKTW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.85 over the past year, against $16.54 in late 2022.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over MKTW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MKTW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $80.1M | -1.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $75.8M | -5.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $77M | -7.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $83.4M | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $81.3M | -16% |
| Q2 2025 | $80M | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $83.5M | -23% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.5M | -13% |
MKTW's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $80M last quarter, down 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 20% | -2.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | -5.6% | -24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4% | -22 points |
| Q4 2025 | 16% | -9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | -0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +0.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +24 points |
MKTW's operating margin was 20% last quarter, down 2.1 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over MKTW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over MKTW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MKTW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.4M | +289% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.3M | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5M | -251% |
| Q4 2025 | $24M | +307% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | +$8M |
| Q2 2025 | $17.7M | +$21.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7M | +$20.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $5.9M | -66% |
MKTW has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
MKTW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +11% | +292K shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +337K shares |
| 3 years | +75% | +1.3M shares |
| 5 years | +55% | +1M shares |
MKTW has 3M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago, despite $2M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $313,000 |
| Q1 2026 | $57,000 |
| Q4 2025 | $478,000 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $1.9M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
MKTW spent $2M buying back its own shares over the past year.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over MKTW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
MKTW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
MKTW has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MKTW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.7 | Neutral |
MKTW's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
MKTW PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MKTW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 28x | 5.8% below |
| PE % | 82 | 38 | 44 pts above |
MKTW has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MKTW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.0 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $19.5 | 14% above |
| 50 week MA | $17.6 | 27% above |
| 100 week MA | $16.3 | 37% above |
| 200 week MA | $24.8 | 10% below |
MKTW has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 10% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
MKTW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $201.0 | $210.0 | +4.5% |
| 2021 | $210.0 | $146.0 | -30% |
| 2022 | $146.0 | $32.4 | -78% |
| 2023 | $32.4 | $54.6 | +69% |
| 2024 | $54.6 | $9.82 | -82% |
| 2025 | $9.82 | $14.2 | +45% |
| 2026 YTD | $14.2 | $22.3 | +57% |
MKTW has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.