MKSI

MKS Inc.

79
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential89/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MKSI has the edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MKSI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Stable

MKSI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MKSI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE264x527x791x1055x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE264x527x791x1055x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$222—
Cheap15x$125-44%
Current26x$222—
Fair29x$245+11%
Expensive50x$422+90%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MKSI's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT has the edge over MKSI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MKSI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

MKSI has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

MKSI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$492.41
Downside-15%$188.89

Calculated from the latest close: $221.50 on Nov 12.

MKSI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MSFT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT trails MKSI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MKSI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-27.54Q1 2024: $-26.68Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $3.36Q2 2025: $3.95Q3 2025: $4.13Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.78Q2 2026: $6.27Q3 2026: $8.43Forward: $19.24
Q4 2023: $-27.54Q1 2024: $-26.68Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.46Q4 2024: $2.81Q1 2025: $3.36Q2 2025: $3.95Q3 2025: $4.13Q4 2025: $4.37Q1 2026: $4.78Q2 2026: $6.27Q3 2026: $8.43Forward: $19.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.24+128%
Q3 2026$8.43+104%
Q2 2026$6.27+59%
Q1 2026$4.78+42%
Q4 2025$4.37+56%
Q3 2025$4.13+798%
Q2 2025$3.95+3192%
Q1 2025$3.36+$30.04
Q4 2024$2.81+$30.35

MKSI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $8.43 over the past year, up 104% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

MKSI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $892MQ1 2024: $868MQ2 2024: $887MQ3 2024: $896MQ4 2024: $934MQ1 2025: $936MQ2 2025: $973MQ3 2025: $988MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $892MQ1 2024: $868MQ2 2024: $887MQ3 2024: $896MQ4 2024: $934MQ1 2025: $936MQ2 2025: $973MQ3 2025: $988MQ4 2025: $1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+43%
Q2 2026$1.2B+28%
Q1 2026$1.1B+15%
Q4 2025$1B+11%
Q3 2025$988M+10%
Q2 2025$973M+9.7%
Q1 2025$936M+7.8%
Q4 2024$934M+4.7%

MKSI's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 43% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over MKSI on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MKSI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $95MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $146MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: $243M
Q4 2023: $147MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $95MQ3 2024: $141MQ4 2024: $125MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $136MQ3 2025: $146MQ4 2025: $92MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $189MQ3 2026: $243M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$243M+66%
Q2 2026$189M+39%
Q1 2026$28M-77%
Q4 2025$92M-26%
Q3 2025$146M+3.5%
Q2 2025$136M+43%
Q1 2025$123M+151%
Q4 2024$125M-15%

MKSI has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

MKSI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 68MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 68MQ1 2025: 68MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-200K shares
1 year+7.2%+4.9M shares
3 years+8%+5.4M shares
5 years+30%+16.8M shares
Available history+32%+17.4M shares

MKSI has 73M diluted shares, up 7.2% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over MKSI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MKSI Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 5.9xQ3 2024: 5.9xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q2 2024: 5.9xQ3 2024: 5.9xQ4 2024: 4.9xQ1 2025: 4.8xQ2 2025: 4.6xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.4xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.4xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20263.4xElevated
Q1 20264.0xElevated
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.6xHigh
Q1 20254.8xHigh
Q4 20244.9xHigh

MKSI's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over MKSI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MKSI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic17.0Oversold

MKSI's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

MKSI PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMKSISector medianRelative
PE26x28x5.7% below
PE %41356 pts above

MKSI has the edge over MSFT on valuation relative to its sector.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MKSI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$229.03.3% below
20 week MA$272.419% below
50 week MA$260.815% below
100 week MA$182.821% above
200 week MA$143.854% above

MKSI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 54% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over MKSI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MKSI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$110.4$149.9+36%
2021$149.9$169.2+13%
2022$169.2$83.7-51%
2023$83.7$102.9+23%
2024$102.9$106.2+3.2%
2025$106.2$164.2+55%
2026 YTD$164.2$221.5+35%

MKSI has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.

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