MITK

Mitek Systems, Inc.

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MITK's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MU

Micron Technology, Inc.

96
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

MU has the edge over MITK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

MITK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MITK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

MU Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

MU's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

MITK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x85x127x170x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x85x127x170x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$18.25—
Current39x$18.25—
Cheap40x$18.89+3.5%
Fair69x$32.56+78%
Expensive90x$42.14+131%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MITK has the edge over MU in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MU PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE42x83x125x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward4.6x$798—
Cheap10x$777-2.7%
Current11x$798—
Fair22x$1,646+106%
Expensive32x$2,404+201%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MU's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.6x next year's earnings.

MITK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MITK, with profitability improving.

MU Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MU, with profitability improving.

MITK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$26.38
Downside-21%$14.35

Calculated from the latest close: $18.25 on Nov 12.

MITK trails MU on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MU Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+219%$2,544.93
Downside-15%$674.73

Calculated from the latest close: $798.44 on Nov 12.

MU has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MITK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MITK Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.17Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.35Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $1.18
Q3 2023: $0.17Q4 2023: $-0.06Q1 2024: $-0.16Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $0.07Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.29Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.19Q4 2025: $0.35Q1 2026: $0.35Q2 2026: $0.47Forward: $1.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.18+151%
Q2 2026$0.47+38%
Q1 2026$0.35+21%
Q4 2025$0.35+250%
Q3 2025$0.19+171%
Q2 2025$0.34+$0.49
Q1 2025$0.29+$0.45
Q4 2024$0.10+$0.16
Q3 2024$0.07-59%

MITK earned $0.47 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

MU Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
Q4 2023: $-6.28Q1 2024: $-3.45Q2 2024: $-1.42Q3 2024: $0.70Q4 2024: $3.49Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $5.57Q3 2025: $7.59Q4 2025: $10.52Q1 2026: $21.18Q2 2026: $44.17Q3 2026: $74.33Forward: $174.95
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$174.95+135%
Q3 2026$74.33+879%
Q2 2026$44.17+693%
Q1 2026$21.18+405%
Q4 2025$10.52+201%
Q3 2025$7.59+984%
Q2 2025$5.57+$6.99
Q1 2025$4.19+$7.64
Q4 2024$3.49+$9.77

MU has the edge over MITK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MITK Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $54M
Q3 2023: $38MQ4 2023: $37MQ1 2024: $47MQ2 2024: $45MQ3 2024: $43MQ4 2024: $37MQ1 2025: $52MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $45MQ4 2025: $44MQ1 2026: $55MQ2 2026: $54M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$54M+18%
Q1 2026$54.8M+5.6%
Q4 2025$44.2M+19%
Q3 2025$44.8M+3.6%
Q2 2025$45.7M+1.7%
Q1 2025$51.9M+11%
Q4 2024$37.3M+0.9%
Q3 2024$43.2M+15%

MITK's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $54M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

MU Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
Q4 2023: $4.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $6.8BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.7BQ1 2025: $8.1BQ2 2025: $9.3BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $13.6BQ1 2026: $23.9BQ2 2026: $41.5BQ3 2026: $54.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$54.2B+379%
Q2 2026$41.5B+346%
Q1 2026$23.9B+196%
Q4 2025$13.6B+57%
Q3 2025$11.3B+46%
Q2 2025$9.3B+37%
Q1 2025$8.1B+38%
Q4 2024$8.7B+84%

MU has the edge over MITK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MITK Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $230,000Q1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $25M
Q3 2023: $3MQ4 2023: −$10MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $21MQ4 2024: $230,000Q1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $19MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: −$2MQ2 2026: $25M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$25.3M+19%
Q1 2026-$2.5M-118%
Q4 2025$6.6M+2766%
Q3 2025$19.2M-7.8%
Q2 2025$21.2M+69%
Q1 2025$13.5M+105%
Q4 2024$230K+$9.9M
Q3 2024$20.8M+573%

MITK generated $49M in free cash flow over the past year, down 13% from the year before.

MU Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
Q4 2023: −$395MQ1 2024: −$165MQ2 2024: $396MQ3 2024: $285MQ4 2024: $38MQ1 2025: −$113MQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $5.5BQ2 2026: $17.6BQ3 2026: $32.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.9B+45543%
Q2 2026$17.6B+951%
Q1 2026$5.5B+$5.6B
Q4 2025$3B+7853%
Q3 2025$72M-75%
Q2 2025$1.7B+322%
Q1 2025-$113M+$52M
Q4 2024$38M+$433M

MU has the edge over MITK on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MITK Total Shares

Q3 2023: 47MQ4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49M
Q3 2023: 47MQ4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 48MQ2 2024: 48MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 49M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+174K shares
1 year+4%+1.9M shares
3 years+4.8%+2.2M shares
5 years+7.8%+3.5M shares
Available history+17%+7.1M shares

MITK has 49M diluted shares, up 4% from a year ago, despite $21M in buybacks over the past year.

MU Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-2M shares
1 year+1.6%+18M shares
3 years+4.6%+50M shares
5 years+0.2%+2M shares
Available history+1.2%+14M shares

MU has the edge over MITK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MITK Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 4.4xQ4 2023: 35.6xQ3 2024: -22.8xQ4 2024: 7.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: -1.0x
Q3 2023: 4.4xQ4 2023: 35.6xQ3 2024: -22.8xQ4 2024: 7.0xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2026: -1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20247.0xHigh
Q3 2024-22.8xNet Cash
Q4 202335.6xHigh
Q3 20234.4xHigh
Q2 20232.0xHealthy
Q1 20232.0xModerate

MITK has the edge over MU on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MU Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
Q4 2023: 5.0xQ1 2024: 1.6xQ2 2024: 0.9xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.6xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.3xQ3 2026: -0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.6xVery low

MU has more cash than debt.

MITK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.0Neutral
Stochastic51.8Neutral

MITK's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

MU Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.1Neutral
Stochastic26.9Neutral

MU's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 27 (neutral).

MITK PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMITKSector medianRelative
PE39x28x39% above
PE %143521 pts below

MITK is trading at 39x earnings, a 39% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

MU PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMUSector medianRelative
PE11x28x61% below
PE %183517 pts below

MU has the edge over MITK on valuation relative to its sector.

MITK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.73.2% above
20 week MA$18.01.3% above
50 week MA$15.320% above
100 week MA$12.447% above
200 week MA$11.658% above

MITK has the edge over MU on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MU Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$914.513% below
20 week MA$931.014% below
50 week MA$685.916% above
100 week MA$405.497% above
200 week MA$246.0225% above

MU has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 225% above its 200-week average.

MITK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.63$18.8+146%
2021$18.8$16.8-11%
2022$16.8$10.0-40%
2023$10.0$13.0+30%
2024$13.0$11.4-13%
2025$11.4$10.5-7.1%
2026 YTD$10.5$18.3+73%

MITK's yearly returns have swung widely, from +146% in 2020 to −40% in 2022. It's up 73% so far in 2026.

MU Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.0$70.6+31%
2021$70.6$94.4+34%
2022$94.4$50.2-47%
2023$50.2$85.3+70%
2024$85.3$88.6+3.9%
2025$88.6$284.8+221%
2026 YTD$284.8$798.4+180%

MU has the edge over MITK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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