MITK
Mitek Systems, Inc.
MITK has the edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MITK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MITK's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MITK PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 15x | $18.25 | — |
| Current | 39x | $18.25 | — |
| Cheap | 40x | $18.89 | +3.5% |
| Fair | 69x | $32.56 | +78% |
| Expensive | 90x | $42.14 | +131% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MITK's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over MITK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MITK Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
MITK has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
MITK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.18 | +151% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.47 | +38% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.35 | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.35 | +250% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.19 | +171% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.34 | +$0.49 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.29 | +$0.45 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.10 | +$0.16 |
| Q3 2024 | $0.07 | -59% |
MITK earned $0.47 per share over the past year, up 38% from the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over MITK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MITK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $54M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $54.8M | +5.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $44.2M | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $44.8M | +3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $45.7M | +1.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $51.9M | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $37.3M | +0.9% |
| Q3 2024 | $43.2M | +15% |
MITK's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $54M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 21% | +13 points |
| Q1 2026 | 25% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | +21 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | -7.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.3% | +6.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 22% | +20 points |
| Q4 2024 | -8.3% | +11 points |
| Q3 2024 | 18% | +27 points |
MITK's operating margin was 21% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over MITK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over MITK on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
MITK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $25.3M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.5M | -118% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.6M | +2766% |
| Q3 2025 | $19.2M | -7.8% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.2M | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $13.5M | +105% |
| Q4 2024 | $230K | +$9.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $20.8M | +573% |
MITK has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
MITK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +174K shares |
| 1 year | +4% | +1.9M shares |
| 3 years | +4.8% | +2.2M shares |
| 5 years | +7.8% | +3.5M shares |
| Available history | +17% | +7.1M shares |
MITK has 49M diluted shares, up 4% from a year ago, despite $21M in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $2M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $10M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5M |
| Q2 2025 | $1,000 |
| Q1 2025 | $1,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $14.1M |
MITK spent $21M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 22% from the year before.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over MITK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
MITK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 7.0x | High |
| Q3 2024 | -22.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | 35.6x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 4.4x | High |
| Q2 2023 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2023 | 2.0x | Moderate |
MITK has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MITK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.8 | Neutral |
MITK's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
MITK PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MITK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 39x | 28x | 39% above |
| PE % | 14 | 35 | 21 pts below |
MITK is trading at 39x earnings, a 39% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over MITK on valuation relative to its sector.
MITK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $17.7 | 3.2% above |
| 20 week MA | $18.0 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $15.3 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $12.4 | 47% above |
| 200 week MA | $11.6 | 58% above |
MITK has the edge over MSFT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 27% above its 200-week average.
MITK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.63 | $18.8 | +146% |
| 2021 | $18.8 | $16.8 | -11% |
| 2022 | $16.8 | $10.0 | -40% |
| 2023 | $10.0 | $13.0 | +30% |
| 2024 | $13.0 | $11.4 | -13% |
| 2025 | $11.4 | $10.5 | -7.1% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.5 | $18.3 | +73% |
MITK has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.