MHNC

Maiden Holdings North America, Ltd.

There isn't enough reported data to score MHNC yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

MHNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

MHNC's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MHNC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

MHNC PE Valuation

MHNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

MHNC Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for MHNC to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

MHNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $10.61 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MHNC and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare MHNC and MS's risk to reward.

MHNC Earnings Per Share

Q2 2022: $0.48Q3 2022: $0.42Q4 2022: $-0.63Q1 2023: $-0.72Q2 2023: $-1.04Q3 2023: $-0.98Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-0.33Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $-0.01Q1 2025: $-0.11
Q2 2022: $0.48Q3 2022: $0.42Q4 2022: $-0.63Q1 2023: $-0.72Q2 2023: $-1.04Q3 2023: $-0.98Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-0.33Q3 2024: $-0.65Q4 2024: $-0.01Q1 2025: $-0.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q1 2025-$0.11+$0.15
Q4 2024-$0.01+$0.37
Q3 2024-$0.65+$0.33
Q2 2024-$0.33+$0.71
Q1 2024-$0.26+$0.46
Q4 2023-$0.38+$0.25
Q3 2023-$0.98-333%
Q2 2023-$1.04-317%

MS has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 142% for MHNC versus MS up 29%.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

MHNC Quarterly Revenue

Q2 2022: $21MQ3 2022: $18MQ4 2022: $10MQ1 2023: $19MQ2 2023: $23MQ3 2023: $22MQ4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $14M
Q2 2022: $21MQ3 2022: $18MQ4 2022: $10MQ1 2023: $19MQ2 2023: $23MQ3 2023: $22MQ4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $14M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q1 2025$14M-51%
Q3 2024$14.5M-33%
Q2 2024$20.5M-10%
Q1 2024$28.9M+48%
Q4 2023$25.2M+160%
Q3 2023$21.8M+23%
Q2 2023$22.8M+10%
Q1 2023$19.5M+94%

MS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 51% for MHNC versus up 12% for MS.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

MHNC Free Cash Flow

Q2 2022: −$13MQ3 2022: −$11MQ4 2022: −$96MQ1 2023: −$20MQ2 2023: −$43MQ3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: −$21M
Q2 2022: −$13MQ3 2022: −$11MQ4 2022: −$96MQ1 2023: −$20MQ2 2023: −$43MQ3 2023: −$2MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: −$23MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: $102MQ1 2025: −$21M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2025-$21.1M-362%
Q4 2024$102M+1540%
Q3 2024-$3.8M-$1.5M
Q2 2024-$23.4M+$19.9M
Q1 2024$8M+$28.4M
Q4 2023$6.2M+$102.3M
Q3 2023-$2.3M+$8.7M
Q2 2023-$43.3M-$30.6M

MHNC has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 114% versus its history, compared with MS at down 492%.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MHNC Total Shares

Q2 2022: 87MQ3 2022: 87MQ4 2022: 87MQ1 2023: 102MQ2 2023: 102MQ3 2023: 101MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 100MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 99M
Q2 2022: 87MQ3 2022: 87MQ4 2022: 87MQ1 2023: 102MQ2 2023: 102MQ3 2023: 101MQ4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 100MQ2 2024: 100MQ3 2024: 100MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 99M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.8%-782K shares
1 year-1.3%-1.3M shares
3 years+15%+12.6M shares
5 years+19%+16.1M shares
Available history+19%+16M shares

MHNC has 99M diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over MHNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MHNC Net Leverage

Q2 2022: 18.0xQ3 2022: 41.8x
Q2 2022: 18.0xQ3 2022: 41.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 202241.8xHigh
Q2 202218.0xHigh
Q1 202213.8xHigh
Q4 20218.4xHigh
Q3 20217.9xHigh
Q2 20216.2xHigh
Q1 20214.5xHigh
Q4 20203.6xElevated

MHNC's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 7.9 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MHNC.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

MHNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic28.3Neutral

MHNC's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

MHNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMHNCSector medianRelative
PEN/A13x—

MHNC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MHNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.60% above
20 week MA$11.35.9% below
50 week MA$13.018% below
100 week MA$15.029% below
200 week MA$16.435% below

MHNC is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 35% below its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over MHNC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MHNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.2$22.2-0.1%
2021$22.2$22.6+2%
2022$22.6$18.4-19%
2023$18.4$19.0+3.3%
2024$19.0$17.0-11%
2025$17.0$15.8-7.4%
2026 YTD$15.8$10.6-33%

MHNC has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 33% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over MHNC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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