MHK

Mohawk Industries, Inc.

54
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MHK has a slight edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MHK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

MHK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

MHK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x201x301x401x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x201x301x401x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$79.26-46%
Fair15x$126-14%
Forward16x$147—
Current17x$147—
Expensive21x$182+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MHK has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

MHK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MHK's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over MHK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

MHK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$182.48
Downside-21%$115.81

Calculated from the latest close: $146.64 on Nov 12.

MHK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails MHK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MHK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.90Q1 2024: $-6.52Q2 2024: $-5.64Q3 2024: $8.85Q4 2024: $8.14Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $7.53Q3 2025: $6.73Q4 2025: $5.93Q2 2026: $6.68Q3 2026: $7.56Q4 2026: $8.53Forward: $9.11
Q4 2023: $-6.90Q1 2024: $-6.52Q2 2024: $-5.64Q3 2024: $8.85Q4 2024: $8.14Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $7.53Q3 2025: $6.73Q4 2025: $5.93Q2 2026: $6.68Q3 2026: $7.56Q4 2026: $8.53Forward: $9.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.11+6.8%
Q3 2026$8.53+27%
Q2 2026$7.56+0.4%
Q1 2026$6.68-13%
Q4 2025$5.93-27%
Q3 2025$6.73-24%
Q2 2025$7.53+$13.17
Q1 2025$7.65+$14.17
Q4 2024$8.14+$15.04

MHK has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

MHK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3BQ4 2026: $2.8B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3BQ4 2026: $2.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.8B+1%
Q2 2026$3B+6.8%
Q1 2026$2.7B+8%
Q4 2025$2.7B+2.4%
Q3 2025$2.8B+1.4%
Q2 2025$2.8B0%
Q1 2025$2.5B-5.7%
Q4 2024$2.6B+1%

MHK has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

MHK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: −$85MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $265MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $228MQ4 2026: $390M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: −$85MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $265MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $228MQ4 2026: $390M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$390.3M+26%
Q2 2026$228.2M+81%
Q1 2026$7.8M+$93.2M
Q4 2025$265.2M+12%
Q3 2025$310.3M+52%
Q2 2025$126.1M-11%
Q1 2025-$85.4M-188%
Q4 2024$236.2M+322%

MHK has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

MHK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 61MQ4 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 61MQ4 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-900K shares
1 year-3.7%-2.3M shares
3 years-5.8%-3.7M shares
5 years-13%-8.9M shares
Available history-17%-12.3M shares

MHK has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MHK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9xQ4 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9xQ4 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

MHK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over MHK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MHK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.4Neutral
Stochastic84.5Overbought

MHK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

MHK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMHKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x4.6% below
PE %694722 pts above

MHK has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MHK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.412% above
20 week MA$127.915% above
50 week MA$117.525% above
100 week MA$116.826% above
200 week MA$115.127% above

MHK is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 27% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 34% above its 200-week average.

MHK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$134.4$138.7+3.2%
2021$138.7$171.2+23%
2022$171.2$98.0-43%
2023$98.0$103.5+5.7%
2024$103.5$118.8+15%
2025$118.8$110.2-7.2%
2026 YTD$110.2$146.6+33%

MHK has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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