MHK

Mohawk Industries, Inc.

54
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MHK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over MHK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

MHK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

MHK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

MHK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x201x301x401x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE100x201x301x401x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.3x$79.26-46%
Fair15x$126-14%
Forward16x$147—
Current17x$147—
Expensive21x$182+24%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MHK's PE is in its expensive range at 17x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 16x, in its fair range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over MHK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MHK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect MHK's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MHK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$182.48
Downside-21%$115.81

Calculated from the latest close: $146.64 on Nov 12.

MHK trails NKE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MHK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MHK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-6.90Q1 2024: $-6.52Q2 2024: $-5.64Q3 2024: $8.85Q4 2024: $8.14Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $7.53Q3 2025: $6.73Q4 2025: $5.93Q2 2026: $6.68Q3 2026: $7.56Q4 2026: $8.53Forward: $9.11
Q4 2023: $-6.90Q1 2024: $-6.52Q2 2024: $-5.64Q3 2024: $8.85Q4 2024: $8.14Q1 2025: $7.65Q2 2025: $7.53Q3 2025: $6.73Q4 2025: $5.93Q2 2026: $6.68Q3 2026: $7.56Q4 2026: $8.53Forward: $9.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.11+6.8%
Q3 2026$8.53+27%
Q2 2026$7.56+0.4%
Q1 2026$6.68-13%
Q4 2025$5.93-27%
Q3 2025$6.73-24%
Q2 2025$7.53+$13.17
Q1 2025$7.65+$14.17
Q4 2024$8.14+$15.04

MHK has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

MHK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3BQ4 2026: $2.8B
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $2.7BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.6BQ1 2025: $2.5BQ2 2025: $2.8BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3BQ4 2026: $2.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.8B+1%
Q2 2026$3B+6.8%
Q1 2026$2.7B+8%
Q4 2025$2.7B+2.4%
Q3 2025$2.8B+1.4%
Q2 2025$2.8B0%
Q1 2025$2.5B-5.7%
Q4 2024$2.6B+1%

MHK has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

MHK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: −$85MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $265MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $228MQ4 2026: $390M
Q4 2023: $56MQ1 2024: $97MQ2 2024: $142MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $236MQ1 2025: −$85MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $310MQ4 2025: $265MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $228MQ4 2026: $390M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$390.3M+26%
Q2 2026$228.2M+81%
Q1 2026$7.8M+$93.2M
Q4 2025$265.2M+12%
Q3 2025$310.3M+52%
Q2 2025$126.1M-11%
Q1 2025-$85.4M-188%
Q4 2024$236.2M+322%

MHK has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

MHK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 61MQ4 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 64MQ3 2024: 63MQ4 2024: 64MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 62MQ4 2025: 62MQ2 2026: 62MQ3 2026: 61MQ4 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.5%-900K shares
1 year-3.7%-2.3M shares
3 years-5.8%-3.7M shares
5 years-13%-8.9M shares
Available history-17%-12.3M shares

MHK has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MHK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9xQ4 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 5.7xQ2 2024: 4.5xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.3xQ3 2025: 1.2xQ4 2025: 1.0xQ2 2026: 1.0xQ3 2026: 0.9xQ4 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.9xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20251.0xHealthy
Q3 20251.2xHealthy
Q2 20251.3xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

MHK's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.2 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over MHK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MHK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.4Neutral
Stochastic84.5Overbought

MHK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

MHK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricMHKSector medianRelative
PE17x18x4.6% below
PE %694722 pts above

MHK has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

MHK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.412% above
20 week MA$127.915% above
50 week MA$117.525% above
100 week MA$116.826% above
200 week MA$115.127% above

MHK has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

MHK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$134.4$138.7+3.2%
2021$138.7$171.2+23%
2022$171.2$98.0-43%
2023$98.0$103.5+5.7%
2024$103.5$118.8+15%
2025$118.8$110.2-7.2%
2026 YTD$110.2$146.6+33%

MHK has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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